Coritiba – Vitoria: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Brazil · Matchday 33

CoritibaSerie A · #12

2-0Saturday, October 31

VitoriaSerie A · #14

Match events

CoritibaVitoria

58'⚽Pedro Rocha
62'E. Britez
67'⇄MatheuzinhoOff: E. Britez
68'⇄BaralhasOff: Caique Goncalves
68'⇄Renato KayzerOff: Ze Vitor
69'⚽TingaAssist: Tiago Coser
80'

Chances to win

Coritiba%42

Draw%28

Vitoria%30

At a glance

Over 1.5

%49Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%51

Over 2.5%49

Not both score%46

Coritiba win%42

Vitoria win%30

Draw%28

Why?

Coritiba: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CoritibaL0-1L0-1D1-1L0-4L0-5

VitoriaD1-1D1-1L1-2W4-0L1-3

Last 13 meetings

4Coritiba won

4Draw

5Vitoria won

2.1
Goals per game4/13
Over 2.57/13
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Coritiba · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Vitoria · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Coritiba · last 9 at home5.6 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners3/9Over 0.5 cards

Vitoria · last 9 away3.4 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners1/9Over 0.5 cards9/9Over 1.5 cards4/9

Starting line-ups

Coritiba · 4-2-3-1

1Pedro Morisco

2Tinga

23Tiago Cóser

26Bruno Melo

55Jacy Maranhão

5Nicolas Fonseca

10Josué

19Sebastián Gómez

21Thiago Santos

77Breno Lopes

32Pedro Rocha

Bench

Pedro Rangel, Maicon, Rodrigo Moledo, Fabricio Bustos, Rodrigo Gelado, Paulo Roberto, Richard, Vitor Gonçalves Tissi, Joaquín Lavega, Brian Ocampo, Vini Paulista, Rodrigo Rodrigues

Vitoria · 4-1-4-1

1Lucas Arcanjo

2Emanuel Brítez

25Cacá

26Edenilson

59Gean de Jesus Soares

6Emmanuel Martínez

12Diego Tarzia

33Erick

88Zé Vitor

95Caique Gonçalves

91Renê Sousa

Bench

Yuri Sena, Darlan, Wanderson Estrela Oliveira, Tomás Pochettino, Matheuzinho, Rúben Ramos Ismael, Gabriel Baralhas, Ignacio Laquintana, Alex Bruno, Lucas Silva, Fabrício Santos, Renato Kayzer

Coritiba – VitoriaAugust 28, 2019 · Serie B1-1

Coritiba – VitoriaAugust 29, 2017 · Serie A0-1

Vitoria – CoritibaMay 28, 2017 · Serie A0-1

Coritiba – VitoriaNovember 29, 2016 · Serie A0-1

Vitoria – CoritibaAugust 4, 2016 · Serie A3-1

Vitoria – CoritibaNovember 20, 2014 · Serie A1-1

Coritiba – VitoriaAugust 21, 2014 · Serie A2-0

Vitoria – CoritibaOctober 13, 2013 · Serie A2-1

Coritiba – VitoriaJuly 29, 2013 · Serie A1-1

Vini PaulistaOff: S. Gomez

80'⇄J. LavegaOff: Pedro Rocha

85'⇄TissiOff: N. Fonseca

85'⇄Rodrigo GeladoOff: Bruno Melo

87'⇄Alex BrunoOff: Rene

87'⇄Lucas SilvaOff: Emmanuel Martinez

89'⇄Rodrigo MoledoOff: Josue

Statistics

51%Possession49%

2.16Expected goals0.52

20Total shots6

7Shots on target1

7Corners4

19Fouls11

0Yellow cards1

1Saves5

84%Pass accuracy83%

Vitoria: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Coritiba scored 1.3 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Vitoria scored 0.7 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Coritiba · last 10 at home: both scored 7 times7/10

Vitoria · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Coritiba: 10 games · Vitoria: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)0.5

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.72.1

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

8/10Over 1.5league %788/10

6/10Over 2.5league %513/10

3/10Over 3.5league %251/10

2/10Over 4.5league %130/10

7/10Both scoreleague %594/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score6/10

Coritiba: 10 games · Vitoria: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.2

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.2Total goals per gameleague 2.72.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %789/10

6/10Over 2.5league %515/10

4/10Over 3.5league %253/10

3/10Over 4.5league %130/10

5/10Both scoreleague %596/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Coritiba: a 7-match wait for a win is over.

%75 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Coritiba win 754, 170 end level and Vitoria win 75. The actual result comes up 754 times in 1000.

2.16 – 0.52 The score the chances deserved (xG): Coritiba 2.16 – 0.52 Vitoria.

20 – 6 Shots: Coritiba 20 – 6 Vitoria.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 13 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Coritiba · Serie A

Vitoria · Serie A

Coritiba · All games

Vitoria · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Coritiba's ground

Last 13 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Starting line-ups

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match