The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%68Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%62
Los Angeles Galaxy win%62
Not both score%38
Under 2.5%32
Draw%20
Austin win%18
Why?
Los Angeles Galaxy: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Los Angeles GalaxyD2-2D2-2W2-0L2-6W3-2
AustinL1-2W2-1L1-2L1-3L1-4
Last 13 meetings
6Los Angeles Galaxy won
2Draw
5Austin won
2.8 Goals per game6/13 Over 2.57/13 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Los Angeles Galaxy · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Austin · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Los Angeles Galaxy · last 10 at home5.1 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
Lukasz Szpala3.0 cards a match in 15 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Los Angeles Galaxy · Major League Soccer
4W 3D 3LScored 18 · conceded 222.5 Üst 8/10KG 8/10
Austin · Major League Soccer
2W 4D 4LScored 13 · conceded 182.5 Üst 7/10KG 9/10
Los Angeles Galaxy · All games
4W 3D 3LScored 18 · conceded 222.5 Üst 8/10KG 8/10
Austin · All games
2W 4D 4LScored 13 · conceded 182.5 Üst 7/10KG 9/10
Missing players
Los Angeles Galaxy
R. Puig
No games this season · Knee Injury
M. Yoshida
This season 12 games · 1 goals · 0 assists · Leg Injury
I. Parente
This season 8 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Ankle Injury
Austin
C. Applewhite
No games this season · Muscle Injury
Starting line-ups
Los Angeles Galaxy · 4-3-3
12J. Marcinkowski
14J. Nelson
15J. Haak
25C. Garcés
26Harbor Miller
6Sergi Roberto
17P. Ruiz
18M. Reus
11H. Lozano
This fixture at Los Angeles Galaxy's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 6
4Los Angeles Galaxy won
1Draw
1Austin won
Los Angeles Galaxy last won here on Oct 6, 2024: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Austin.Austin last won here on Jul 17, 2025: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Austin.2.8 goals a game here · over 2.5 3/6 · BTTS 4/6
Last 13 meetings
6Los Angeles Galaxy won
2Draw
5Austin won
2.8 Goals per game6/13 Over 2.57/13 Both score
Previous meetings
Austin – Los Angeles GalaxyApril 11, 2026 · Major League Soccer1-2
Los Angeles Galaxy – AustinJuly 17, 2025 · Major League Soccer1-2
Austin – Los Angeles GalaxyApril 19, 2025 · Major League Soccer1-0
Los Angeles Galaxy – AustinFebruary 5, 2025 · Friendlies Clubs
3/10
Over 0.5 cards9/10
Over 1.5 cards7/10
Austin · last 10 away4.0 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards8/10
Los Angeles Galaxy · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10
Austin · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10
Los Angeles Galaxy: 10 games · Austin: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.3Goals scored (avg)1.0
1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.4
2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.22.4
9/10Over 0.5league %959/10
8/10Over 1.5league %838/10
5/10Over 2.5league %646/10
3/10Over 3.5league %411/10
1/10Over 4.5league %230/10
6/10Both scoreleague %646/10
3/10Clean sheets1/10
2/10Failed to score4/10
Los Angeles Galaxy: 10 games · Austin: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.8Goals scored (avg)1.3
2.2Goals conceded (avg)1.8
4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.23.1
10/10Over 0.5league %959/10
10/10Over 1.5league %839/10
8/10Over 2.5league %647/10
6/10Over 3.5league %413/10
3/10Over 4.5league %232/10
8/10Both scoreleague %649/10
1/10Clean sheets1/10
1/10Failed to score1/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
2.44 – 1.27 The score the chances deserved (xG): Los Angeles Galaxy 2.44 – 1.27 Austin.
%63 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Los Angeles Galaxy win 631, 184 end level and Austin win 185. The actual result comes up 631 times in 1000.
10 – 2 Shots on target: Los Angeles Galaxy 10 – 2 Austin.
9.1 Man of the match: M. Reus (Los Angeles Galaxy), rated 9.1.
Los Angeles GalaxyWestern Conference · #10
AustinWestern Conference · #14