St. Louis City – Los Angeles Galaxy: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 28

St. Louis CityWestern Conference · #3

6-2Monday, October 12

Los Angeles GalaxyWestern Conference · #10

Match events

St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy

2'⚽Carlo HolseAssist: Rafael Navarro Leal
7'⚽Carlo HolseAssist: Rafael Navarro Leal
11'⇄KlaussOff: Kyogo Furuhashi
21'⚽Carlo HolseAssist: Christopher Durkin
31'⚽Robert TaylorAssist: Erik Thommy
39'Christopher Durkin

Chances to win

St. Louis City%63

Draw%20

Los Angeles Galaxy%17

At a glance

Over 1.5

%67Over 2.5

%62Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%67Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

St. Louis City win%63

Both score%62

Not both score%38

Under 2.5%33

Draw%20

Los Angeles Galaxy win%17

Why?

St. Louis City: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

St. Louis CityW3-0W3-1W3-0W4-2D2-2

Los Angeles GalaxyW3-2W3-2D1-1L0-3W2-1

Last 7 meetings

3St. Louis City won

4Draw

0Los Angeles Galaxy won

4.0
Goals per game6/7
Over 2.56/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

St. Louis City · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).7/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 7 games it led at half-time.

Los Angeles Galaxy · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

St. Louis City · last 9 at home5.4 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners5/9Over 0.5 cards

Los Angeles Galaxy · last 10 away4.9 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

B. Lundt, Rafael Santos, F. Fall, J. Orozco, T. Ostrák, M. Perez, S. Becher, D. Downs, Jeong Sang-Bin

Los Angeles Galaxy · 4-3-3

12J. Marcinkowski

3J. Aude

5J. Glesnes

15J. Haak

26Harbor Miller

6Sergi Roberto

17P. Ruiz

27E. Thommy

7K. Furuhashi

21R. Taylor

76T. Elgersma

Bench

N. Mićović, Calegari, M. Yoshida, J. Nelson, C. Garcés, L. Sanabria, M. Reus, J. Paintsil

September 1, 2024 · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy – St. Louis CityMarch 17, 2024 · Major League Soccer3-3

Los Angeles Galaxy – St. Louis CitySeptember 11, 2023 · Major League Soccer2-2

St. Louis City – Los Angeles GalaxyJune 11, 2023 · Major League Soccer1-1

Rafael Navarro LealPenalty

45'⇄Lucas Agustin·Sanabria MagoleOff: Sergi Roberto

45+7'⚽Lukas MacNaughtonAssist: Alexandru Măţan

53'⚽Rafael Navarro LealAssist: Christopher Durkin

60'⇄Joseph PaintsilOff: Robert Taylor

60'⇄Marco ReusOff: Pablo Ruiz

67'Bernardi Julian Ezequiel Aude

71'⚽KlaussAssist: Marco Reus

72'⇄Fallou FallOff: Christopher Durkin

75'⇄Carlos Emiro Garces TorresOff: Erik Thommy

80'⇄Simon BecherOff: Rafael Navarro Leal

80'⇄Sang-bin JungOff: Carlo Holse

80'⇄Jaziel Alberto Orozco LanderosOff: Conrad Wallem

90+1'⇄Damion DownsOff: Alexandru Măţan

Statistics

59%Possession41%

2.69Expected goals1.73

11Total shots17

6Shots on target6

2Corners3

17Fouls10

3Offsides1

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

5Saves0

Los Angeles Galaxy: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

St. Louis City scored 2.4 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Los Angeles Galaxy scored 1.3 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

St. Louis City · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Los Angeles Galaxy · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

St. Louis City: 10 games · Los Angeles Galaxy: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.5Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.5Goals conceded (avg)2.3

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.23.7

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %839/10

7/10Over 2.5league %647/10

6/10Over 3.5league %416/10

5/10Over 4.5league %232/10

8/10Both scoreleague %647/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

St. Louis City: 10 games · Los Angeles Galaxy: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.4Goals conceded (avg)2.2

3.7Total goals per gameleague 3.24.0

8/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8310/10

8/10Over 2.5league %648/10

5/10Over 3.5league %416/10

4/10Over 4.5league %233/10

5/10Both scoreleague %648/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

2.69 – 1.73 The score the chances deserved (xG): St. Louis City 2.69 – 1.73 Los Angeles Galaxy.

St. Louis City: win number 4 in a row.

%58 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), St. Louis City win 583, 179 end level and Los Angeles Galaxy win 239. The actual result comes up 583 times in 1000.

9.8

Man of the match: C. Holse (St. Louis City), rated 9.8.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

St. Louis City · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy · Major League Soccer

St. Louis City · All games

Los Angeles Galaxy · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at St. Louis City's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match