New York Red Bulls – St. Louis City: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 27

New York Red BullsEastern Conference · #10

0-3Thursday, October 1

St. Louis CityWestern Conference · #3

Match events

New York Red BullsSt. Louis City

5'⚽Rafael Navarro LealAssist: Conrad Wallem
35'Timo Baumgartl
63'⇄Connor FaelloOff: Devin Padelford
64'⇄Pedro CastroOff: Jorge Ruvalcaba
71'⇄Simon BecherOff: Alexandru Măţan
71'⇄Sang-bin JungOff: Carlo Holse

Chances to win

New York Red Bulls%27

Draw%23

St. Louis City%51

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%65Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%65

St. Louis City win%51

Not both score%35

Under 2.5%34

New York Red Bulls win%27

Draw%23

Why?

New York Red Bulls: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

New York Red BullsW1-0W1-0L0-2D0-0L1-3

St. Louis CityW3-1W3-0W4-2D2-2W3-1

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

New York Red Bulls · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

St. Louis City · last 10 away4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

New York Red Bulls · last 9 at home5.3 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners5/9Over 5.5 corners4/9

St. Louis City · last 8 away4.1 corners, 3.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners4/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards8/8Over 1.5 cards7/8

K. Hiebert

No games this season · Hip Injury

Starting line-ups

New York Red Bulls · 4-3-3

34E. Horvath

12D. Nealis

14J. Bazán

26T. Parker

59D. Padelford

10E. Forsberg

37M. Sofo

60S. Kone

7C. Cowell

11J. Ruvalcaba

13E. Choupo-Moting

Bench

J. McCarthy, R. Voloder, C. Faello, T. Rosborough, N. Worth, A. Rojas

St. Louis City · 3-4-3

1R. Bürki

21D. Polvara

27F. Fall

32T. Baumgartl

6C. Wallem

8C. Durkin

14T. Totland

24D. Edelman

9Rafael Navarro

19C. Holse

23A. Mățan

Bench

B. Lundt, L. MacNaughton, Rafael Santos, J. Orozco, T. Ostrák, M. Perez, M. Joyner, S. Becher, Jeong Sang-Bin

84'⇄Nate WorthOff: Sekou Kone

85'⇄Lukas MacNaughtonOff: Daniel Edelman

85'⇄Tomas OstrakOff: Rafael Navarro Leal

87'⇄Andy Rojas MarotoOff: Mohammed Sofo

87'⇄Robert VoloderOff: Tim Parker

87'⚽Simon BecherAssist: Christopher Durkin

90+1'⚽Tomas Ostrak

Statistics

45%Possession55%

10Total shots15

5Shots on target8

4Corners3

12Fouls12

3Offsides4

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

5Saves4

St. Louis City: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

New York Red Bulls scored 1.4 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

St. Louis City scored 1.9 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

New York Red Bulls · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

St. Louis City · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

New York Red Bulls: 10 games · St. Louis City: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.23.2

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

9/10Over 1.5league %839/10

4/10Over 2.5league %648/10

3/10Over 3.5league %415/10

2/10Over 4.5league %231/10

5/10Both scoreleague %646/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

New York Red Bulls: 10 games · St. Louis City: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.4Total goals per gameleague 3.23.2

9/10Over 0.5league %958/10

7/10Over 1.5league %837/10

4/10Over 2.5league %647/10

2/10Over 3.5league %414/10

2/10Over 4.5league %233/10

3/10Both scoreleague %644/10

4/10Clean sheets4/10

4/10Failed to score4/10

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer

St. Louis City · Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls · All games

St. Louis City · All games

Missing players

Previous meetings

Model chances

Starting line-ups

Statistics

Goals

Goals