Los Angeles FC – Austin: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 29

Los Angeles FCWestern Conference · #6

3-1Thursday, October 15

AustinWestern Conference · #14

Match events

Los Angeles FCAustin

52'⚽Denis BouangaAssist: Son Heung-min
63'⇄Myrto UzuniOff: Oleksandr Svatok
63'⇄Mathieu ChoinièreOff: Igor Jesus
63'⇄Jacob ShaffelburgOff: Armindo Sieb
66'⚽Brandon VazquezAssist: Myrto Uzuni
67'⚽Denis BouangaAssist: Son Heung-min

Chances to win

Los Angeles FC%66

Draw%20

Austin%14

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Los Angeles FC win.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%63

Both score%56

Not both score%44

Under 2.5%37

Draw%20

Austin win%14

Why?

Los Angeles FC won 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Los Angeles FCD1-1L0-1D2-2L1-3W2-0

AustinL1-4D3-3D0-0W2-1D1-1

Last 12 meetings

5Los Angeles FC won

3Draw

4Austin won

2.8
Goals per game7/12
Over 2.57/12
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Los Angeles FC · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Austin · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Los Angeles FC · last 10 at home7.5 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Austin · last 10 away3.6 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

T. Hasal, E. Segura, R. Hollingshead, N. Tafari, S. Vasquez, M. Choinière, J. Shaffelburg, T. Boyd, Thayllon

Austin · 3-4-3

1B. Stuver

4B. Hines-Ike

5O. Svatok

29Guilherme Biro

11F. Torres

14B. Šabović

17J. Gallagher

38Ervin Torres

9B. Vázquez

21C. Ramirez

30J. Rosales

Bench

D. Las, J. Bell, Chris Applewhite, M. Đorđević, Ilie Sánchez, Jorge Alastuey, M. Burton, P. Płacheta, M. Uzuni

Los Angeles FC – AustinMarch 15, 2025 · Major League Soccer0-1

Los Angeles FC – AustinSeptember 19, 2024 · Major League Soccer1-1

Austin – Los Angeles FCJune 20, 2024 · Major League Soccer1-1

Austin – Los Angeles FCOctober 8, 2023 · Major League Soccer2-4

Los Angeles FC – AustinApril 9, 2023 · Major League Soccer3-0

Los Angeles FC – AustinOctober 30, 2022 · Major League Soccer3-0

Austin – Los Angeles FCAugust 27, 2022 · Major League Soccer4-1

Los Angeles FC – AustinMay 19, 2022 · Major League Soccer1-2

Son Heung-minAssist: Jacob Shaffelburg

78'⇄Jorge AlastueyOff: Besard Sabovic

78'⇄Ryan HollingsheadOff: Evgen Cheberko

78'⇄Sergio VasquezOff: Son Heung-min

81'⇄Ilie SánchezOff: Ervin Torres

81'⇄Przemyslaw PłachetaOff: Facundo Daniel Torres Perez

85'⇄Tyler BoydOff: Leo Walta

Statistics

40%Possession60%

4.28Expected goals0.65

28Total shots14

11Shots on target4

7Corners5

8Fouls8

0Offsides2

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

3Saves8

Los Angeles FC scored 1.5 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Austin scored 0.7 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Austin · last 10 away: 5 defeats5/10

Los Angeles FC: 10 games · Austin: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.1

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.7Total goals per gameleague 3.22.6

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

9/10Over 1.5league %838/10

4/10Over 2.5league %646/10

4/10Over 3.5league %412/10

0/10Over 4.5league %231/10

7/10Both scoreleague %647/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Los Angeles FC: 10 games · Austin: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.3Goals conceded (avg)2.1

2.7Total goals per gameleague 3.23.4

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

8/10Over 1.5league %839/10

5/10Over 2.5league %648/10

5/10Over 3.5league %414/10

0/10Over 4.5league %233/10

7/10Both scoreleague %649/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

4.28 – 0.65 The score the chances deserved (xG): Los Angeles FC 4.28 – 0.65 Austin.

%93 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Los Angeles FC win 930, 46 end level and Austin win 24. The actual result comes up 930 times in 1000.

28 – 14 Shots: Los Angeles FC 28 – 14 Austin.

11 – 4 Shots on target: Los Angeles FC 11 – 4 Austin.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 12 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer

Austin · Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC · All games

Austin · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Los Angeles FC's ground

Last 12 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match