Columbus Crew – DC United: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 33

Columbus CrewEastern Conference · #9

3-0Saturday, October 31

DC UnitedEastern Conference · #13

Match events

Columbus CrewDC United

16'⚽Sean ZawadzkiAssist: Dylan Chambost
22'VARMatti PeltolaPenalty confirmed
24'✕Keisuke KurokawaMissed penalty
41'⚽Anass ZarouryAssist: Dylan Chambost
45'⇄Oscar AvilezOff: Jared Stroud
45+1'Kye Rowles

Chances to win

Columbus Crew%66

Draw%19

DC United%15

At a glance

Over 1.5

%65Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Columbus Crew win.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%65

Both score%58

Not both score%42

Under 2.5%35

Draw%19

DC United win%15

Why?

Columbus Crew won 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Columbus CrewW2-0W4-2D0-0W2-0W3-1

DC UnitedL1-2L0-2L1-2L1-4W2-1

Last 15 meetings

7Columbus Crew won

3Draw

5DC United won

3.1
Goals per game10/15
Over 2.510/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Columbus Crew · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

DC United · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Columbus Crew · last 8 at home6.4 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/8Over 4.5 corners6/8Over 5.5 corners4/8Over 0.5 cards

DC United · last 10 away6.1 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners6/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

N. Hagen, M. Herrera, E. Bailly, B. Lennon, Cesar Ruvalcaba, L. Giaccone, T. Karumanchi, J. Thiaré, Josef Martínez

DC United · 4-4-2

26A. Bono

3L. Bartlett

5S. Hefti

6K. Kurokawa

15K. Rowles

2K. Nono

4M. Peltola

8J. Stroud

21A. Dozzell

7Peglow

22N. Ordaz

Bench

J. Farr, C. Antley, S. Nealis, Nikola Markovic, B. Servania, J. Hopkins, K. Castillo, Gavin Turner, O. Avilez

Columbus Crew – DC UnitedApril 7, 2024 · Major League Soccer1-1

DC United – Columbus CrewApril 9, 2023 · Major League Soccer0-2

Columbus Crew – DC UnitedMarch 5, 2023 · Major League Soccer2-0

DC United – Columbus CrewJuly 14, 2022 · Major League Soccer2-2

Columbus Crew – DC UnitedMay 1, 2022 · Major League Soccer3-0

DC United – Columbus CrewOctober 31, 2021 · Major League Soccer1-3

Columbus Crew – DC UnitedAugust 5, 2021 · Major League Soccer2-4

Columbus Crew – DC UnitedMay 8, 2021 · Major League Soccer3-1

DC United – Columbus CrewOctober 29, 2020 · Major League Soccer1-0

DC United – Columbus CrewMay 5, 2019 · Major League Soccer3-1

Columbus Crew – DC UnitedApril 25, 2019 · Major League Soccer0-1

60'⇄Brandon ServaniaOff: Nathan Ordaz

60'⚽Kimito NonoOwn goal

64'João Gabriel Martins Peglow

70'⇄Sean NealisOff: Kye Rowles

71'⇄Tarun KarumanchiOff: Sekou Tidiany Bangoura

71'⇄Josef MartínezOff: Gonzalo Tapia

71'⇄Marcelo Andrés HerreraOff: Mohamed Farsi

74'⇄Lautaro GiacconeOff: Santiago Rodriguez

84'⇄Eric BaillyOff: Steven Moreira

84'⇄Nikola MarkovićOff: Silvan Hefti

Statistics

62%Possession38%

1.1Expected goals1.16

14Total shots9

4Shots on target4

3Corners4

11Fouls20

0Offsides3

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

4Saves2

Columbus Crew scored 1.7 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

DC United scored 1.3 and conceded 2.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Columbus Crew · last 10 at home: 5 wins5/10

DC United · last 10 away: 5 defeats5/10

Columbus Crew: 10 games · DC United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.1Goals conceded (avg)2.5

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.23.6

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8310/10

8/10Over 2.5league %648/10

3/10Over 3.5league %415/10

1/10Over 4.5league %232/10

6/10Both scoreleague %648/10

3/10Clean sheets0/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Columbus Crew: 10 games · DC United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)0.9

0.8Goals conceded (avg)2.3

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.23.2

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

9/10Over 1.5league %839/10

6/10Over 2.5league %648/10

3/10Over 3.5league %413/10

2/10Over 4.5league %232/10

5/10Both scoreleague %646/10

5/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.10 – 1.16 The score the chances deserved (xG): Columbus Crew 1.10 – 1.16 DC United.

%34 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Columbus Crew win 342, 287 end level and DC United win 372. The actual result comes up 342 times in 1000.

8.6

Man of the match: D. Chambost (Columbus Crew), rated 8.6.

%66 Our model's pre-match chance of a Columbus Crew win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer

DC United · Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew · All games

DC United · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Columbus Crew's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match