Orlando City SC – DC United: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 30

Orlando City SCEastern Conference · #9

4-1Sunday, October 18

DC UnitedEastern Conference · #13

Match events

Orlando City SCDC United

15'⚽Antoine GriezmannAssist: Martin Ojeda
22'⚽Martin OjedaAssist: Antoine Griezmann
38'Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino
45'⇄Joran GerbetOff: Wilder Cartagena
45'⇄Jackson HopkinsOff: Jared Stroud
45+2'⚽Tai BariboPenalty

Chances to win

Orlando City SC%56

Draw%22

DC United%22

At a glance

Over 1.5

%72Over 2.5

%68Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%72Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%68

Orlando City SC win%56

Not both score%32

Under 2.5%28

DC United win%22

Draw%22

Why?

Orlando City SC: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Orlando City SCD3-3W3-2L2-4L2-4L1-2

DC UnitedW2-1L0-4D3-3L1-2D0-0

Last 9 meetings

3Orlando City SC won

2Draw

4DC United won

4.3
Goals per game7/9
Over 2.58/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Orlando City SC · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

DC United · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Orlando City SC · last 9 at home4.7 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners3/9

DC United · last 10 away4.4 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Javier Otero, Adrián Marín, N. Miller, B. Ojeda, Joran Gerbet, Tiago, Justin Ellis, Harvey Sarajian, Marco Pasalic

DC United · 4-4-2

1S. Johnson

5S. Hefti

6K. Kurokawa

13S. Nealis

15K. Rowles

2K. Nono

7Peglow

21A. Dozzell

23B. Servania

8J. Stroud

9T. Baribo

Bench

A. Bono, M. Peltola, C. Antley, Nikola Markovic, J. Hopkins, K. Castillo, Gavin Turner, N. Ordaz, O. Avilez

July 7, 2024 · Major League Soccer

DC United – Orlando City SCApril 14, 2024 · Major League Soccer2-3

Orlando City SC – DC UnitedApril 23, 2023 · Major League Soccer1-3

DC United – Orlando City SCMarch 12, 2023 · Major League Soccer1-1

DC United – Orlando City SCAugust 1, 2022 · Major League Soccer2-1

Orlando City SC – DC UnitedJuly 5, 2022 · Major League Soccer3-5

65'⇄Oscar AvilezOff: Brandon Servania

70'⇄Adrián MarínOff: Eduard Atuesta

70'⇄Braian OjedaOff: Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino

70'⇄Justin EllisOff: Daryl Dike

78'⇄Nathan OrdazOff: João Gabriel Martins Peglow

78'⇄Matti PeltolaOff: Silvan Hefti

86'⇄Marco PašalićOff: Martin Ojeda

90+5'⚽Marco PašalićAssist: Justin Ellis

Statistics

59%Possession41%

2.62Expected goals2.6

13Total shots15

7Shots on target4

1Corners8

10Fouls18

1Offsides2

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

3Saves3

DC United: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Orlando City SC scored 1.9 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

DC United scored 1.4 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Orlando City SC · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

DC United · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Orlando City SC: 10 games · DC United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.3Goals conceded (avg)2.5

3.3Total goals per gameleague 3.23.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8310/10

8/10Over 2.5league %648/10

4/10Over 3.5league %415/10

2/10Over 4.5league %232/10

8/10Both scoreleague %648/10

2/10Clean sheets0/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

Orlando City SC: 10 games · DC United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)0.9

2.4Goals conceded (avg)2.3

4.6Total goals per gameleague 3.23.2

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

10/10Over 1.5league %839/10

10/10Over 2.5league %648/10

8/10Over 3.5league %413/10

5/10Over 4.5league %232/10

8/10Both scoreleague %646/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

2.62 – 2.60 The score the chances deserved (xG): Orlando City SC 2.62 – 2.60 DC United.

%41 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Orlando City SC win 414, 179 end level and DC United win 407. The actual result comes up 414 times in 1000.

1 – 8 Corners: Orlando City SC 1 – 8 DC United.

9.6

Man of the match: A. Griezmann (Orlando City SC), rated 9.6.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer

DC United · Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC · All games

DC United · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Orlando City SC's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match