Toronto FC – DC United: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 32

Toronto FCEastern Conference · #11

2-1Thursday, October 29

DC UnitedEastern Conference · #13

Match events

Toronto FCDC United

29'⚽Andre DozzellAssist: Silvan Hefti
33'Niklas Dorsch
50'Dániel Sallói
50'Kye Rowles
58'Kimito Nono
60'Jared Stroud
64'

Chances to win

Toronto FC%49

Draw%25

DC United%26

At a glance

Over 1.5

%62Over 2.5

%63Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%63

Toronto FC win%49

Under 2.5%38

Not both score%37

DC United win%26

Draw%25

Why?

Toronto FC: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Toronto FCL2-4W2-0D3-3W2-1L0-2

DC UnitedL0-2L1-2L1-4W2-1L0-4

Last 15 meetings

3Toronto FC won

7Draw

5DC United won

3.7
Goals per game12/15
Over 2.514/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Toronto FC · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

DC United · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Toronto FC · last 9 at home5.2 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners5/9Over 0.5 cards

DC United · last 10 away5.7 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

W. Yarbrough, Z. Monlouis, J. Gilman, R. Chukwu, Alonso Coello, M. Cimermancic, D. Etienne, Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga, L. Morgan

DC United · 4-4-2

1S. Johnson

3L. Bartlett

5S. Hefti

6K. Kurokawa

15K. Rowles

2K. Nono

4M. Peltola

8J. Stroud

21A. Dozzell

7Peglow

22N. Ordaz

Bench

J. Farr, A. Bono, C. Antley, S. Nealis, Nikola Markovic, B. Servania, J. Hopkins, K. Castillo, Gavin Turner

DC United – Toronto FCJune 2, 2024 · Major League Soccer2-2

Toronto FC – DC UnitedMay 28, 2023 · Major League Soccer2-1

DC United – Toronto FCFebruary 26, 2023 · Major League Soccer3-2

DC United – Toronto FCMay 22, 2022 · Major League Soccer2-2

Toronto FC – DC UnitedMarch 19, 2022 · Major League Soccer2-1

Toronto FC – DC UnitedNovember 7, 2021 · Major League Soccer1-3

DC United – Toronto FCJuly 4, 2021 · Major League Soccer7-1

DC United – Toronto FCSeptember 20, 2020 · Major League Soccer2-2

Toronto FC – DC UnitedJuly 13, 2020 · Major League Soccer2-2

Toronto FC – DC UnitedOctober 20, 2019 · Major League Soccer1-1

DC United – Toronto FCJune 30, 2019 · Major League Soccer1-1

Jonathan OsorioAssist: Josh Sargent

64'VARJonathan OsorioGoal confirmed

80'⇄Brandon ServaniaOff: Nathan Ordaz

84'Matheus Pereira de Souza

89'⇄Sean NealisOff: Jared Stroud

89'⇄AlonsoOff: Djordje Mihailovic

90+3'⇄Zane MonlouisOff: Matheus Pereira de Souza

90+5'⇄Emilio AristizábalOff: Josh Sargent

Statistics

61%Possession39%

1.55Expected goals1.11

9Total shots10

2Shots on target2

5Corners7

7Fouls15

3Offsides3

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

1Saves0

DC United: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Toronto FC scored 2.1 and conceded 2.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

DC United scored 1.6 and conceded 2.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Toronto FC · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

DC United · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Toronto FC: 10 games · DC United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)1.1

2.2Goals conceded (avg)2.5

4.4Total goals per gameleague 3.23.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

10/10Over 1.5league %8310/10

9/10Over 2.5league %648/10

5/10Over 3.5league %415/10

4/10Over 4.5league %232/10

10/10Both scoreleague %648/10

0/10Clean sheets0/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

Toronto FC: 10 games · DC United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)0.9

2.2Goals conceded (avg)2.3

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.23.2

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

10/10Over 1.5league %839/10

8/10Over 2.5league %648/10

4/10Over 3.5league %413/10

3/10Over 4.5league %232/10

7/10Both scoreleague %646/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

86'

Josh Sargent decided it in minute 86.

%48 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Toronto FC win 475, 253 end level and DC United win 272. The actual result comes up 475 times in 1000.

1.55 – 1.11 The score the chances deserved (xG): Toronto FC 1.55 – 1.11 DC United.

9.0

Man of the match: J. Sargent (Toronto FC), rated 9.0.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Toronto FC · Major League Soccer

DC United · Major League Soccer

Toronto FC · All games

DC United · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Toronto FC's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match