Toronto FC – CF Montreal: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 28

Toronto FCEastern Conference · #11

2-1Saturday, October 10

CF MontrealEastern Conference · #15

Match events

Toronto FCCF Montreal

23'⇄William YarbroughOff: Luka Gavran
51'⚽Daniel Rios
55'Brayan Vera
61'⇄Djordje MihailovicOff: Jonathan Osorio
72'⇄Samuel PietteOff: Victor Loturi
72'⇄Fabian HerbersOff: Alexis Sanchez

Chances to win

Toronto FC%48

Draw%25

CF Montreal%27

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%62Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%62

Toronto FC win%48

Under 2.5%40

Not both score%38

CF Montreal win%27

Draw%25

Why?

Toronto FC: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Toronto FCL0-2L1-3L0-3W2-1D4-4

CF MontrealW3-1L0-2W2-1L0-1L1-2

Last 10 meetings

3Toronto FC won

3Draw

4CF Montreal won

3.5
Goals per game5/10
Over 2.56/10
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Toronto FC · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

CF Montreal · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Toronto FC · last 9 at home4.9 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners5/9Over 5.5 corners5/9Over 0.5 cards

CF Montreal · last 8 away3.0 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/8Over 4.5 corners2/8Over 5.5 corners1/8Over 0.5 cards8/8Over 1.5 cards6/8

Bench

W. Yarbrough, Z. Monlouis, R. Chukwu, D. Mihailović, D. Etienne, J. Gilman, L. Morgan, Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga, A. Piedrahita

CF Montreal · 3-4-2-1

1S. Breza

2J. Neal

4B. Vera

13L. Petrasso

27D. Bugaj

5B. Craig

8M. Longstaff

22V. Loturi

9P. Owusu

10A. Sánchez

14D. Ríos

Bench

S. Keita, E. Morales, V. Radojević, S. Piette, D. Pereira, W. Carmona, H. Synchuk, F. Herbers, N. Streit

CF Montreal – Toronto FCJuly 21, 2024 · Major League Soccer0-1

Toronto FC – CF MontrealMay 19, 2024 · Major League Soccer5-1

Toronto FC – CF MontrealAugust 21, 2023 · Major League Soccer2-3

CF Montreal – Toronto FCMay 14, 2023 · Major League Soccer2-0

Toronto FC – CF MontrealSeptember 5, 2022 · Major League Soccer3-4

CF Montreal – Toronto FCJuly 17, 2022 · Major League Soccer1-0

Lewis MorganOff: Alonso

86'⇄Wikelman·CarmonaOff: Daniel Rios

86'⇄Efrain MoralesOff: Brandan Craig

90+3'⚽Lewis MorganAssist: Niklas Dorsch

90+5'⚽Djordje MihailovicAssist: Theo Corbeanu

Statistics

52%Possession48%

1.07Expected goals1.48

14Total shots16

5Shots on target7

8Corners6

9Fouls17

4Offsides2

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

6Saves3

CF Montreal: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Toronto FC scored 2.0 and conceded 2.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

CF Montreal scored 1.1 and conceded 2.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Toronto FC · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

CF Montreal · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Toronto FC: 10 games · CF Montreal: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)0.7

2.2Goals conceded (avg)2.1

4.4Total goals per gameleague 3.22.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

10/10Over 1.5league %838/10

9/10Over 2.5league %644/10

5/10Over 3.5league %412/10

4/10Over 4.5league %231/10

10/10Both scoreleague %646/10

0/10Clean sheets0/10

0/10Failed to score4/10

Toronto FC: 10 games · CF Montreal: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)0.9

2.2Goals conceded (avg)1.8

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.22.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

10/10Over 1.5league %8310/10

8/10Over 2.5league %645/10

4/10Over 3.5league %412/10

3/10Over 4.5league %230/10

7/10Both scoreleague %646/10

1/10Clean sheets0/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%27 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Toronto FC win 274, 260 end level and CF Montreal win 466. The actual result comes up 274 times in 1000.

90+5'

Djordje Mihailovic decided it in minute 90.

1.07 – 1.48 The score the chances deserved (xG): Toronto FC 1.07 – 1.48 CF Montreal.

8.1

Man of the match: L. Morgan (Toronto FC), rated 8.1.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 10 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Toronto FC · Major League Soccer

CF Montreal · Major League Soccer

Toronto FC · All games

CF Montreal · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Toronto FC's ground

Last 10 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match