CF Montreal – FC Cincinnati: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 27

CF MontrealEastern Conference · #15

3-1Sunday, September 27

FC CincinnatiEastern Conference · #7

Match events

CF MontrealFC Cincinnati

11'⇄Fabian HerbersOff: Brayan Ceballos
25'⚽Daniel Rios
33'Matthew Longstaff
47'Fabian Herbers
58'⇄David DouděraOff: Ayoub Jabbari
64'⚽Tom BarlowAssist: Gerardo Valenzuela
71'

Chances to win

CF Montreal%36

Draw%24

FC Cincinnati%39

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%67Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%67

FC Cincinnati win%39

CF Montreal win%36

Under 2.5%34

Not both score%33

Draw%24

Why?

CF Montreal: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CF MontrealL0-2W2-1L0-1L1-2L0-2

FC CincinnatiD2-2D3-3L0-5L0-4D1-1

Last 9 meetings

3CF Montreal won

1Draw

5FC Cincinnati won

4.6
Goals per game8/9
Over 2.57/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

CF Montreal · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

FC Cincinnati · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

CF Montreal · last 8 at home7.9 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/8Over 4.5 corners8/8Over 5.5 corners5/8Over 0.5 cards

FC Cincinnati · last 10 away3.7 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

P. Bucha

This season 18 games · 6 goals · 1 assists · International duty

E. Echenique

This season 16 games · 0 goals · 4 assists · Inactive

A. Chirila

This season 5 games · 0 goals · 1 assists · International duty

Starting line-ups

CF Montreal · 3-4-3

1S. Breza

2J. Neal

3B. Ceballos

13L. Petrasso

5B. Craig

8M. Longstaff

22V. Loturi

27D. Bugaj

9P. Owusu

10A. Sánchez

14D. Ríos

Bench

T. Gillier, E. Gazdov, F. Amaya, I. Losenko, F. Herbers

FC Cincinnati · 3-5-2

18R. Celentano

4N. Hagglund

11S. Gidi

15T. Hadebe

5O. Nwobodo

10Evander

17K. Mboma Dem

22G. Valenzuela

29Bryan Josías Ramírez León

16T. Barlow

99A. Jabbari

Bench

E. Louro, A. Powell, J. Malatini, K. Smith, Felix Samson, Stefan Chirila, D. Douděra, B. Anunga, K. Fletcher

CF Montreal – FC CincinnatiApril 14, 2024 · Major League Soccer2-1

CF Montreal – FC CincinnatiSeptember 21, 2023 · Major League Soccer1-1

FC Cincinnati – CF MontrealMay 18, 2023 · Major League Soccer3-0

CF Montreal – FC CincinnatiMay 29, 2022 · Major League Soccer4-3

FC Cincinnati – CF MontrealApril 2, 2022 · Major League Soccer3-4

72'⚽Prince-Osei OwusuPenalty

75'⚽Prince-Osei OwusuAssist: Daniel Rios

77'⇄Kristian FletcherOff: Bryan Ramirez

77'⇄Kyle SmithOff: Obinna Nwobodo

86'⇄Alvas PowellOff: Nick Hagglund

86'⇄Tah AnungaOff: Samuel Mawuena Gidi

87'⇄Frankie AmayaOff: Prince-Osei Owusu

Statistics

45%Possession55%

15Total shots18

5Shots on target4

4Corners6

8Fouls7

2Offsides0

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves2

FC Cincinnati: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

CF Montreal scored 1.0 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

FC Cincinnati scored 1.7 and conceded 2.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

CF Montreal · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

FC Cincinnati · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

CF Montreal: 10 games · FC Cincinnati: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.7Goals conceded (avg)2.3

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.23.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

10/10Over 1.5league %8310/10

6/10Over 2.5league %648/10

3/10Over 3.5league %417/10

0/10Over 4.5league %232/10

7/10Both scoreleague %647/10

0/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

CF Montreal: 10 games · FC Cincinnati: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.7Total goals per gameleague 3.23.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

10/10Over 1.5league %839/10

5/10Over 2.5league %647/10

2/10Over 3.5league %416/10

0/10Over 4.5league %232/10

6/10Both scoreleague %647/10

0/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score1/10

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

CF Montreal · Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer

CF Montreal · All games

FC Cincinnati · All games

Missing players

This fixture at CF Montreal's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Starting line-ups

Statistics

Goals

Goals