By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
New York City FC · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Atlanta United FC · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
New York City FC · last 10 at home5.1 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
Tori Penso4.2 cards a match in 35 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.Go Premium
Missing players
New York City FC
M. Moralez
No games this season · Knee Injury
K. Trewin
No games this season · Ankle Injury
D. Baiera
No games this season · Knee Injury
A. Farnos
This season 1 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Leg Injury
Atlanta United FC
E. Mihaj
This season 10 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Hip Injury
W. Reilly
This season 7 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Ankle Injury
D. Chica
This season 1 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Knee Injury
Starting line-ups
New York City FC · 4-2-3-1
49M. Freese
6J. Sands
13Thiago Martins
22K. O'Toole
24T. Gray
This fixture at New York City FC's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 7
4New York City FC won
3Draw
0Atlanta United FC won
New York City FC last won here on Jun 13, 2025: New York City FC 4-0 Atlanta United FC.Atlanta United FC won none of the last 7 here.2.9 goals a game here · over 2.5 3/7 · BTTS 4/7
Last 15 meetings
5New York City FC won
7Draw
3Atlanta United FC won
3.4 Goals per game10/15 Over 2.512/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Atlanta United FC – New York City FCSeptember 27, 2026 · Major League Soccer2-2
New York City FC – Atlanta United FCJune 13, 2025 · Major League Soccer4-0
Atlanta United FC – New York City FCMarch 30, 2025 · Major League Soccer4-3
Atlanta United FC – New York City FC
2-2
4/10
Over 0.5 cards7/10
Over 1.5 cards5/10
Atlanta United FC · last 10 away4.3 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards9/10
T. Romero, M. Miazga, Raul Gustavo, J. Shore, K. Parks, B. Traoré, Talles Magno, Luighi Hanri, M. Jones
Atlanta United FC · 4-1-4-1
1L. Hoyos
6J. Alonso
27P. Díaz
47Matthew Edwards
55T. Jacob
8T. Muyumba
10M. Almirón
11G. Galoppo
14M. Amaro
59A. Miranchuk
36B. Embolo
Bench
Jayden Hibbert, E. Báez, S. Alzate, Adrian Gill, L. Brennan, A. Fortune, C. Sanchez, Sergio Santos, F. Picault
July 18, 2024 · Major League Soccer
2-2
New York City FC – Atlanta United FCApril 7, 2024 · Major League Soccer1-1
Atlanta United FC – New York City FCJune 22, 2023 · Major League Soccer2-2
New York City FC – Atlanta United FCApril 9, 2023 · Major League Soccer1-1
Atlanta United FC – New York City FCOctober 9, 2022 · Major League Soccer1-2
New York City FC – Atlanta United FCJuly 4, 2022 · Major League Soccer2-2
New York City FC – Atlanta United FCNovember 21, 2021 · Major League Soccer2-0
Atlanta United FC – New York City FCOctober 21, 2021 · Major League Soccer1-1
New York City FC – Atlanta United FCJune 24, 2021 · Major League Soccer1-0
New York City FC – Atlanta United FCSeptember 26, 2019 · Major League Soccer4-1
Atlanta United FC – New York City FCAugust 11, 2019 · Major League Soccer2-1
Atlanta United FC – New York City FCNovember 12, 2018 · Major League Soccer3-1
⇄
Keaton ParksOff: Aiden O'Neill
64'⇄Malachi JonesOff: Agustin Ojeda
68'Tristan Muyumba
70'⚽Nicolás Fernández Mercau
74'⇄Fafà PicaultOff: Tristan Muyumba
81'Matthew Edwards
83'⇄Elías BáezOff: Matthew Edwards
88'⚽Breel Embolo
90'⇄Bénie Adama TraoréOff: Hannes Wolf
90+5'⚽Bénie Adama TraoréAssist: Kevin O'Toole
Statistics
46%Possession54%
1.2Expected goals2.22
11Total shots19
6Shots on target6
3Corners3
13Fouls14
1Offsides4
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
5Saves4
What the data says
The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%59
New York City FC win%54
Under 2.5%41
Not both score%41
Draw%24
Atlanta United FC win%22
Why?
New York City FC · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10
Atlanta United FC · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10
New York City FC: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.
Atlanta United FC: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
New York City FC scored 1.4 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Atlanta United FC scored 1.3 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.
New York City FC: 10 games · Atlanta United FC: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.1Goals scored (avg)1.4
1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.5
2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.22.9
9/10Over 0.5league %959/10
8/10Over 1.5league %837/10
4/10Over 2.5league %647/10
1/10Over 3.5league %414/10
1/10Over 4.5league %232/10
7/10Both scoreleague %646/10
2/10Clean sheets3/10
2/10Failed to score2/10
New York City FC: 10 games · Atlanta United FC: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.2Goals scored (avg)1.5
1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.8
2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.23.3
10/10Over 0.5league %959/10
9/10Over 1.5league %838/10
5/10Over 2.5league %648/10
2/10Over 3.5league %416/10
0/10Over 4.5league %232/10
7/10Both scoreleague %647/10
1/10Clean sheets3/10
2/10Failed to score1/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
6 New York City FC: a 6-match wait for a win is over.
%20 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), New York City FC win 197, 198 end level and Atlanta United FC win 605. The actual result comes up 197 times in 1000.
90+5' Bénie Adama Traoré decided it in minute 90.
1.20 – 2.22 The score the chances deserved (xG): New York City FC 1.20 – 2.22 Atlanta United FC.
New York City FCEastern Conference · #11
Atlanta United FCEastern Conference · #14