CF Montreal – Atlanta United FC: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 29

CF MontrealEastern Conference · #15

0-3Thursday, October 15

Atlanta United FCEastern Conference · #14

Match events

CF MontrealAtlanta United FC

22'⚽Miguel AlmirónAssist: Elías Báez
41'⚽Giuliano Galoppo
45'⇄Efrain MoralesOff: Dawid Bugaj
58'Lucas Hoyos
60'⚽Breel Embolo
65'⇄Steven AlzateOff: Ajani Fortune
67'

Chances to win

CF Montreal%40

Draw%26

Atlanta United FC%34

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%63Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%63

CF Montreal win%40

Under 2.5%40

Not both score%37

Atlanta United FC win%34

Draw%26

Why?

CF Montreal: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CF MontrealL1-2W3-1L0-2W2-1L0-1

Atlanta United FCL1-3D2-2W1-0D0-0L2-3

Last 10 meetings

3CF Montreal won

3Draw

4Atlanta United FC won

3.4
Goals per game7/10
Over 2.58/10
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

CF Montreal · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Atlanta United FC · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

CF Montreal · last 8 at home6.4 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/8Over 4.5 corners7/8Over 5.5 corners4/8Over 0.5 cards

Atlanta United FC · last 9 away4.1 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners3/9Over 5.5 corners3/9Over 0.5 cards9/9Over 1.5 cards8/9

Bench

S. Keita, E. Morales, S. Piette, H. Synchuk, V. Loturi, F. Amaya, I. Losenko, F. Herbers, O. Escobar

Atlanta United FC · 4-1-4-1

1L. Hoyos

3E. Báez

6J. Alonso

27P. Díaz

47Matthew Edwards

10M. Almirón

11G. Galoppo

14M. Amaro

35A. Fortune

59A. Miranchuk

36B. Embolo

Bench

Jayden Hibbert, E. Mihaj, S. Alzate, T. Muyumba, Adrian Gill, C. Sanchez, Sergio Santos, F. Picault, C. Togashi

October 23, 2024 · Major League Soccer

Atlanta United FC – CF MontrealOctober 3, 2024 · Major League Soccer1-2

CF Montreal – Atlanta United FCJuly 14, 2024 · Major League Soccer1-0

Atlanta United FC – CF MontrealSeptember 24, 2023 · Major League Soccer4-1

CF Montreal – Atlanta United FCJuly 9, 2023 · Major League Soccer0-1

CF Montreal – Atlanta United FCApril 30, 2022 · Major League Soccer2-1

Atlanta United FC – CF MontrealMarch 19, 2022 · Major League Soccer3-3

Gennadiy SynchukOff: Wikelman·Carmona

67'⇄Fabian HerbersOff: Matthew Longstaff

67'⇄Victor LoturiOff: Daniel Pereira

74'⇄Sergi SantosOff: Breel Embolo

75'⇄Cooper SanchezOff: Giuliano Galoppo

81'⇄Olger EscobarOff: Alexis Sanchez

83'⇄Fafà PicaultOff: Miguel Almirón

83'⇄Tristan MuyumbaOff: Mauricio Amaro

Statistics

52%Possession48%

0.67Expected goals2.14

9Total shots18

2Shots on target6

7Corners6

16Fouls15

1Offsides1

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves2

Atlanta United FC: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

CF Montreal scored 1.3 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Atlanta United FC scored 1.1 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

CF Montreal · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Atlanta United FC · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

CF Montreal: 10 games · Atlanta United FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.22.9

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

10/10Over 1.5league %837/10

6/10Over 2.5league %647/10

3/10Over 3.5league %414/10

0/10Over 4.5league %232/10

7/10Both scoreleague %646/10

0/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

CF Montreal: 10 games · Atlanta United FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.7Total goals per gameleague 3.23.3

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

10/10Over 1.5league %838/10

5/10Over 2.5league %648/10

2/10Over 3.5league %416/10

0/10Over 4.5league %232/10

6/10Both scoreleague %647/10

0/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%34 Our model's pre-match chance of an Atlanta United FC win.

0.67 – 2.14 The score the chances deserved (xG): CF Montreal 0.67 – 2.14 Atlanta United FC.

%71 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), CF Montreal win 103, 183 end level and Atlanta United FC win 714. The actual result comes up 714 times in 1000.

9 – 18 Shots: CF Montreal 9 – 18 Atlanta United FC.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 10 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

CF Montreal · Major League Soccer

Atlanta United FC · Major League Soccer

CF Montreal · All games

Atlanta United FC · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at CF Montreal's ground

Last 10 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match