St. Louis City – Vancouver Whitecaps: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 29

St. Louis CityWestern Conference · #3

0-0Thursday, October 15

Vancouver WhitecapsWestern Conference · #1

Match events

St. Louis CityVancouver Whitecaps

40'⇄Rafael SantosOff: Conrad Wallem
45+1'Fallou Fall
45+2'Édier Ocampo
66'⇄Bruno CaicedoOff: Emmanuel Sabbi
70'⇄Simon BecherOff: Rafael Navarro Leal
77'⇄Rayan ElloumiOff: Brian White

Chances to win

St. Louis City%41

Draw%25

Vancouver Whitecaps%34

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%65Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%65

St. Louis City win%41

Under 2.5%37

Not both score%35

Vancouver Whitecaps win%34

Draw%25

Why?

St. Louis City: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

St. Louis CityW6-2W3-0W3-1W3-0W4-2

Vancouver WhitecapsD1-1L1-3D3-3W3-0L1-2

Last 7 meetings

2St. Louis City won

1Draw

4Vancouver Whitecaps won

4.0
Goals per game6/7
Over 2.55/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

St. Louis City · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).7/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 7 games it led at half-time.

Vancouver Whitecaps · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

St. Louis City · last 9 at home5.4 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners5/9Over 0.5 cards

Vancouver Whitecaps · last 8 away4.9 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/8Over 4.5 corners4/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards7/8Over 1.5 cards5/8

Bench

B. Lundt, L. MacNaughton, Rafael Santos, J. Orozco, T. Ostrák, M. Perez, S. Becher, D. Downs, Jeong Sang-Bin

Vancouver Whitecaps · 4-2-3-1

1Y. Takaoka

2M. Laborda

6R. Priso

18É. Ocampo

28T. Johnson

8O. Larraz

11E. Sabbi

20A. Cubas

25R. Gauld

77Y. Diaby

24B. White

Bench

I. Boehmer, R. Veselinović, M. Gherasimencov, N. Djordjevic, A. Cvetković, Rui Modesto, C. Sabaly, Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez, R. Elloumi

July 14, 2024 · Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps – St. Louis CityJune 30, 2024 · Major League Soccer4-3

Vancouver Whitecaps – St. Louis CityOctober 5, 2023 · Major League Soccer3-0

St. Louis City – Vancouver WhitecapsMay 28, 2023 · Major League Soccer3-1

Aleksa CvetkovicOff: Oliver Love Larraz

85'Alexandru Măţan

89'⇄Lukas MacNaughtonOff: Christopher Durkin

Statistics

54%Possession46%

0.75Expected goals0.83

7Total shots16

5Shots on target0

6Corners10

17Fouls14

1Offsides2

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

0Saves4

Vancouver Whitecaps: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

St. Louis City scored 2.8 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Vancouver Whitecaps scored 1.6 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

St. Louis City · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Vancouver Whitecaps · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

St. Louis City: 10 games · Vancouver Whitecaps: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.4Goals conceded (avg)0.9

3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.22.3

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

7/10Over 1.5league %838/10

6/10Over 2.5league %645/10

5/10Over 3.5league %411/10

4/10Over 4.5league %230/10

7/10Both scoreleague %645/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

St. Louis City: 10 games · Vancouver Whitecaps: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.23.0

8/10Over 0.5league %959/10

7/10Over 1.5league %838/10

7/10Over 2.5league %647/10

4/10Over 3.5league %413/10

3/10Over 4.5league %232/10

4/10Both scoreleague %647/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%36 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), St. Louis City win 299, 356 end level and Vancouver Whitecaps win 345. The actual result comes up 356 times in 1000.

%25 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

7 – 16 Shots: St. Louis City 7 – 16 Vancouver Whitecaps.

5 – 0 Shots on target: St. Louis City 5 – 0 Vancouver Whitecaps.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

St. Louis City · Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer

St. Louis City · All games

Vancouver Whitecaps · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at St. Louis City's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match