The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%67Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%64
SC Freiburg win%58
Not both score%36
Under 2.5%33
Draw%22
VfL Wolfsburg win%21
Why?
SC Freiburg: 3+ goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
SC FreiburgL1-3L0-3L1-2W3-2W2-1
VfL WolfsburgD1-1W3-1D4-4W5-1L0-1
Last 15 meetings
8SC Freiburg won
3Draw
4VfL Wolfsburg won
3.3 Goals per game8/15 Over 2.58/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
SC Freiburg · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
VfL Wolfsburg · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
SC Freiburg · last 10 at home4.3 corners, 1.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
Soren Storks4.7 cards a match in 3 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
SC Freiburg · All games
6W 1D 3LScored 23 · conceded 152.5 Üst 9/10KG 7/10
VfL Wolfsburg · All games
4W 5D 1LScored 25 · conceded 162.5 Üst 6/10KG 7/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
SC Freiburg · 4-2-3-1
21F. Müller
28M. Ginter
29P. Treu
30C. Günter
37M. Rosenfelder
8M. Eggestein
14Y. Suzuki
16Y. Engelhardt
22Cyriaque Kalou Irié
32V. Grifo
31I. Matanović
Bench
M. Backhaus, P. Lienhart, A. Jung, L. Kübler, P. Osterhage, J. Beste, R. Yamamoto, L. Höler, K. Goto
VfL Wolfsburg · 4-2-3-1
1T. Wellenreuther
6
This fixture at SC Freiburg's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 8
4SC Freiburg won
2Draw
2VfL Wolfsburg won
SC Freiburg last won here on Dec 13, 2024: SC Freiburg 3-2 VfL Wolfsburg.VfL Wolfsburg last won here on Apr 27, 2024: SC Freiburg 1-2 VfL Wolfsburg.3.1 goals a game here · over 2.5 4/8 · BTTS 6/8
SC Freiburg · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 9 times9/10
VfL Wolfsburg · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10
SC Freiburg: 10 games · VfL Wolfsburg: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.9Goals scored (avg)2.0
1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.6
4.4Total goals per gameleague 4.13.6
10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10
10/10Over 1.5league %968/10
10/10Over 2.5league %715/10
8/10Over 3.5league %565/10
6/10Over 4.5league %383/10
8/10Both scoreleague %508/10
1/10Clean sheets1/10
1/10Failed to score1/10
SC Freiburg: 10 games · VfL Wolfsburg: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.0Goals scored (avg)2.8
1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.9
3.6Total goals per gameleague 4.14.7
10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10
9/10Over 1.5league %969/10
9/10Over 2.5league %717/10
5/10Over 3.5league %567/10
3/10Over 4.5league %385/10
7/10Both scoreleague %508/10
2/10Clean sheets1/10
1/10Failed to score1/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
90+2' Keisuke Goto decided it in minute 90.
%44 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), SC Freiburg win 435, 233 end level and VfL Wolfsburg win 333. The actual result comes up 435 times in 1000.
1.72 – 1.48 The score the chances deserved (xG): SC Freiburg 1.72 – 1.48 VfL Wolfsburg.
SC FreiburgBundesliga · #3
VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga · #2