Plzen – Levski Sofia: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·UEFA Europa League · League phase · Matchday 3

PlzenCzech Liga · #9

1-2Thursday, October 22

Levski SofiaA PFG · #2

Match events

PlzenLevski Sofia

20'Mazire Soula
44'⚽Francisco Everton Mota de CastroAssist: Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno
60'⇄Armstrong Oko-FlexOff: Mazire Soula
60'⇄Salim Fago LawalOff: Denis Višinský
60'⇄Stefan PirgicOff: Patrik Hrošovský
62'⚽Christopher KabongoAssist: Cheick Souare

Chances to win

Plzen%53

Draw%25

Levski Sofia%22

At a glance

Over 1.5

%53Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Plzen win.

%53Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%54

Over 2.5%53

Under 2.5%47

Not both score%46

Draw%25

Levski Sofia win%22

Why?

Plzen won 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

PlzenW3-2L1-2W3-0L1-2L0-3

Levski SofiaW2-0D1-1W2-0L0-1D0-0

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Plzen · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Levski Sofia · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Plzen · last 10 at home5.9 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners9/10Over 5.5 corners4/10

Levski Sofia · last 6 away4.0 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/6Over 4.5 corners1/6Over 5.5 corners1/6Over 0.5 cards3/6Over 1.5 cards1/6

Bench

D. Ťapaj, Karel Spáčil, Merchas Doski, A. Gabriel, F. Prebsl, A. Sojka, Jiří Maxim Panoš, S. PirgiÄ, S. Lawal, M. Toure, M. Vydra, B. Faal

Levski Sofia · 4-2-3-1

92S. Vutsov

3Maicon

4C. Makoun

21Aldair

50K. Dimitrov

8M. Grujić

17Everton Bala

19E. El Moubarik

22M. Soula

35Serginho

7Reinaldo

Bench

O. Vladimirov, M. Lukov, Hevertton Santos, Álex Centelles, N. Serafimov, A. Bouras, J. Perea, A. Oko-Flex, David Kusso, S. Stoyanchov

65'⚽Reinaldo Nascimento SatornoAssist: Maicon Araújo dos Santos

74'⇄Akram BourasOff: Francisco Everton Mota de Castro

74'⇄Alexandr SojkaOff: tobias paliscak

74'⇄Baboucarr FaalOff: Tomáš Ladra

77'⇄Matěj VydraOff: Christopher Kabongo

82'⇄Juan Esteban Perea SanchezOff: Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno

82'⇄Álex CentellesOff: Mehdi Moubarik

Statistics

63%Possession37%

1.09Expected goals1.06

13Total shots6

2Shots on target3

4Corners1

9Fouls11

1Offsides0

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

1Saves1

Plzen scored 2.2 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Levski Sofia scored 1.5 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Plzen · last 10 at home: 5 wins5/10

Plzen: 10 games · Levski Sofia: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.8Goals conceded (avg)0.9

3.5Total goals per gameleague 2.92.3

10/10Over 0.5league %939/10

10/10Over 1.5league %768/10

8/10Over 2.5league %604/10

4/10Over 3.5league %332/10

3/10Over 4.5league %170/10

8/10Both scoreleague %465/10

1/10Clean sheets4/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Plzen: 10 games · Levski Sofia: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.7Goals conceded (avg)0.6

3.5Total goals per gameleague 2.92.0

9/10Over 0.5league %939/10

9/10Over 1.5league %767/10

9/10Over 2.5league %603/10

3/10Over 3.5league %331/10

3/10Over 4.5league %170/10

7/10Both scoreleague %465/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%40 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Plzen win 302, 294 end level and Levski Sofia win 404. The actual result comes up 404 times in 1000.

%22 Our model's pre-match chance of an Levski Sofia win.

13 – 6 Shots: Plzen 13 – 6 Levski Sofia.

0.97 – 1.17 The score the chances deserved (xG): Plzen 0.97 – 1.17 Levski Sofia.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Plzen · UEFA Europa League

Levski Sofia · UEFA Europa League

Plzen · All games

Levski Sofia · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match