Carrarese – Arezzo: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Italy · Matchday 9

CarrareseSerie B · #13

2-1Wednesday, October 28

ArezzoSerie B · #14

Match events

CarrareseArezzo

12'Jonas Rouhi
22'⇄Mauro CoppolaroOff: matteo gilli
43'Fabio abiuso
45'Gennaro·Iaccarino
45'⇄G. MarconiOff: Tommaso Rubino
45'⇄Camillo TavernelliOff: Giuseppe Kevin Leone

Chances to win

Carrarese%44

Draw%29

Arezzo%27

At a glance

Over 1.5

%48Over 2.5

%53Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%53

Over 2.5%48

Not both score%47

Carrarese win%44

Draw%29

Arezzo win%27

Why?

Carrarese: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CarrareseL1-2W2-1W2-0L0-1L0-1

ArezzoL0-3W2-1D0-0L1-4W1-0

Last 9 meetings

2Carrarese won

3Draw

4Arezzo won

3.3
Goals per game7/9
Over 2.57/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Carrarese · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Arezzo · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Carrarese · last 10 at home5.1 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Arezzo · last 5 away2.8 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/5Over 4.5 corners0/5Over 5.5 corners0/5Over 0.5 cards5/5Over 1.5 cards4/5

7Giuseppe Kevin Leone

Bench

A. Seculin, M. Coppolaro, A. Renzi, S. Righetti, A. Ioniţă, L. Chierico, A. Cerri, C. Tavernelli, A. Arena, P. Cianci, M. Olivieri

Arezzo – CarrareseNovember 19, 2018 · Serie C - Girone A2-2

Carrarese – ArezzoMay 5, 2018 · Serie C0-1

Arezzo – CarrareseDecember 17, 2017 · Serie C1-1

Arezzo – CarrareseDecember 30, 2016 · Serie C2-1

Carrarese – ArezzoSeptember 4, 2016 · Serie C1-3

Luca ChiericoOff: Gennaro·Iaccarino

63'Shaka Mawuli Eklu

64'VARJonas RouhiPenalty cancelled

72'⇄Artur IonițăOff: Shaka Mawuli Eklu

76'⇄Pietro CianciOff: Leonardo Mancuso

78'⇄Luka TopalovicOff: Jacopo Martini

83'⚽Luka TopalovicAssist: Jonas Rouhi

90'⚽Gabriele parlantiAssist: Luka Topalovic

90+2'⇄Tommaso MacchioniOff: Jonas Rouhi

90+5'⚽Emiliano PattarelloPenalty

90+7'⇄Nicolo CudrigOff: Nicolas Schiavi

90+7'⇄Mattia FinottoOff: Fabio abiuso

Statistics

57%Possession43%

2.67Expected goals0.85

19Total shots4

3Shots on target2

4Corners1

22Fouls13

1Offsides1

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

1Saves1

Arezzo: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Carrarese scored 1.3 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Arezzo scored 1.5 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Carrarese · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Arezzo · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Carrarese: 10 games · Arezzo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.72.6

9/10Over 0.5league %979/10

6/10Over 1.5league %806/10

5/10Over 2.5league %526/10

2/10Over 3.5league %243/10

0/10Over 4.5league %112/10

5/10Both scoreleague %614/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

Carrarese: 10 games · Arezzo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.1Goals conceded (avg)2.0

2.0Total goals per gameleague 2.72.9

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

6/10Over 1.5league %807/10

4/10Over 2.5league %527/10

0/10Over 3.5league %243/10

0/10Over 4.5league %113/10

5/10Both scoreleague %615/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%76 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Carrarese win 759, 146 end level and Arezzo win 95. The actual result comes up 759 times in 1000.

2.67 – 0.85 The score the chances deserved (xG): Carrarese 2.67 – 0.85 Arezzo.

19 – 4 Shots: Carrarese 19 – 4 Arezzo.

8.3

Man of the match: L. Topalović (Carrarese), rated 8.3.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Carrarese · Serie B

Arezzo · Serie B

Carrarese · All games

Arezzo · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Carrarese's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match