Brisbane Roar – Auckland: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·A-League · Australia · Matchday 3

Brisbane RoarA-League · #4

1-1Friday, October 30

AucklandA-League · #6

Match events

Brisbane RoarAuckland

12'⚽H. Sakai
21'J. Vidic
53'S. James Ngor
58'⇄M. IlicOff: V. Postolachi
72'⇄C. ElliotOff: L. Brook
72'⇄I. PrinsOff: J. Bidois
75'

Chances to win

Brisbane Roar%35

Draw%27

Auckland%38

At a glance

Over 1.5

%51Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%51

Under 2.5%49

Not both score%44

Auckland win%38

Brisbane Roar win%35

Draw%27

Why?

Brisbane Roar: both sides scored in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Brisbane RoarW2-1L2-4W3-0L1-2L2-3

AucklandL2-5W3-1L0-1W1-0W3-0

Last 5 meetings

0Brisbane Roar won

2Draw

3Auckland won

2.4
Goals per game1/5
Over 2.52/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Brisbane Roar · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Auckland · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Brisbane Roar · last 9 at home4.0 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners3/9

Auckland · last 10 away3.7 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Dean Bouzanis, Jacob Nasso, Hosine Bility, Emin Durakovic, Jordan Lauton, Marko Ilic, Nathan Amanatidis

Auckland · 4-4-2

1Michael Woud

2Hiroki Sakai

4Nando Pijnaker

15Francis De Vries

23Ronan Wynne

8Felipe Gallegos

22Jake Brimmer

27Logan Rogerson

35Jonty Bidois

10Lachlan Bayliss

77Lachlan Brook

Bench

Joseph James Knowles, Callan Elliot, Luka Vicelich, Daniel Normann, Marley Leuluai, Isa Prins, Van Fitzharris

Auckland – Brisbane RoarOctober 19, 2024 · A-League2-0

E. DurakovicOff: M. Stajic

76'⇄N. AmanatidisOff: S. James Ngor

82'⇄J. LautonOff: T. Francois

89'⇄D. NormannOff: J. Brimmer

90+3'⇄V. FitzharrisOff: L. Bayliss

Statistics

69%Possession31%

15Total shots10

2Shots on target1

10Corners2

10Fouls7

2Offsides3

2Yellow cards1

0Saves2

87%Pass accuracy77%

Auckland: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Brisbane Roar scored 1.3 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Auckland scored 1.8 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Brisbane Roar · last 10 at home: both scored 8 times8/10

Auckland · last 10 away: both scored 7 times7/10

Brisbane Roar: 10 games · Auckland: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.3Total goals per gameleague 2.93.2

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

9/10Over 1.5league %929/10

7/10Over 2.5league %586/10

4/10Over 3.5league %253/10

3/10Over 4.5league %82/10

9/10Both scoreleague %837/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

Brisbane Roar: 10 games · Auckland: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.3Total goals per gameleague 2.92.7

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

9/10Over 1.5league %927/10

8/10Over 2.5league %584/10

4/10Over 3.5league %253/10

2/10Over 4.5league %81/10

8/10Both scoreleague %836/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

10 – 2 Corners: Brisbane Roar 10 – 2 Auckland.

69 – 31 Possession (%): Brisbane Roar 69 – 31 Auckland.

8.6

Man of the match: Hiroki Sakai (Auckland), rated 8.6.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Brisbane Roar · A-League

Auckland · A-League

Brisbane Roar · All games

Auckland · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Brisbane Roar's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match