Iraklis 1908 – Kifisia: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Super League 1 · Greece · Matchday 8

Iraklis 1908Super League · #9

2-3Saturday, October 24

KifisiaSuper League · #7

Match events

Iraklis 1908Kifisia

7'VARÁngelo SagalGoal cancelled
13'⚽Sofian ChaklaAssist: Carles Soria
26'Sofian Chakla
33'⚽Jeremy AntonisseAssist: Seedy Jagne
54'⚽Ivi LópezAssist: Carles Soria
58'⇄Marco KrainzOff: Nemanja Radoja

Chances to win

Iraklis 1908%36

Draw%30

Kifisia%33

At a glance

Over 1.5

%43Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%50

Both score%50

Over 2.5%43

Iraklis 1908 win%36

Kifisia win%33

Draw%30

Why?

Iraklis 1908: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Iraklis 1908L1-2W2-0D0-0D1-1W2-0

KifisiaL1-2W2-0W2-1L0-2D0-0

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Iraklis 1908 · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Kifisia · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Iraklis 1908 · last 2 at home1.5 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners0/2Over 4.5 corners0/2Over 5.5 corners0/2Over 0.5 cards2/2Over 1.5 cards1/2

Kifisia · last 8 away2.9 corners, 3.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners

Bench

F. Roberts, A. Anagnostopoulos, A. Petkov, K. Polykratis, Hugo Sousa, K. Apostolakis, Bernardo Martins, Dimitris Theodoridis, Gerson Sousa, Jordi Mboula, G. Kyriopoulos

Konstantinos PolykratisOff: Leroy Abanda Mfomo

58'⇄Georgios KyriopoulosOff: Seedy Jagne

58'⇄Bernardo MartinsOff: Apóstolos Christópoulos

69'⇄Xande SilvaOff: Carles Soria

69'⇄Gerson Liliano Saches SousaOff: Bernardo Martins

77'⚽Jorge PomboAssist: Georgios Kyriopoulos

82'⇄Kylian KaiboueOff: Vassilis Sourlis

82'⇄Elvir KoljićOff: Ivi López

85'⇄Hugo SousaOff: Jeremy Antonisse

86'⚽Ángelo SagalAssist: Konstantinos Polykratis

90+3'Konstantinos Roukounakis

Statistics

41%Possession59%

0.77Expected goals1.84

8Total shots14

2Shots on target6

2Corners1

13Fouls13

2Offsides3

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

3Saves0

Kifisia: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Iraklis 1908 scored 1.5 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Kifisia scored 1.5 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Iraklis 1908 · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Kifisia · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Iraklis 1908: 8 games · Kifisia: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.83.1

7/8Over 0.5league %939/10

6/8Over 1.5league %808/10

3/8Over 2.5league %526/10

3/8Over 3.5league %344/10

1/8Over 4.5league %162/10

4/8Both scoreleague %506/10

4/8Clean sheets3/10

1/8Failed to score2/10

Iraklis 1908: 10 games · Kifisia: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.82.8

9/10Over 0.5league %939/10

8/10Over 1.5league %809/10

4/10Over 2.5league %525/10

3/10Over 3.5league %343/10

1/10Over 4.5league %162/10

5/10Both scoreleague %505/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

86'

Ángelo Sagal decided it in minute 86.

%33 Our model's pre-match chance of an Kifisia win.

%62 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Iraklis 1908 win 154, 224 end level and Kifisia win 621. The actual result comes up 621 times in 1000.

8.2

Man of the match: Jorge Pombo (Kifisia), rated 8.2.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Iraklis 1908 · Super League 1

Kifisia · Super League 1

Iraklis 1908 · All games

Kifisia · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match