The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Aris Thessalonikis win.
%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Under 2.5%51
Not both score%50
Both score%50
Over 2.5%49
Draw%25
Atromitos win%19
Why?
Aris Thessalonikis won 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Aris ThessalonikisW2-1W3-2D0-0W1-0L0-2
AtromitosL1-2L1-2L0-1D1-1D1-1
Last 15 meetings
8Aris Thessalonikis won
5Draw
2Atromitos won
2.5 Goals per game9/15 Over 2.59/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Aris Thessalonikis · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Atromitos · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Aris Thessalonikis · last 9 at home5.9 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners4/9Over 0.5 cards
Referee
Stavros Tsimenteridis6.0 cards a match in 8 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Aris Thessalonikis · Super League 1
7W 1D 2LScored 18 · conceded 152.5 Üst 8/10KG 6/10
Atromitos · Super League 1
2W 2D 6LScored 16 · conceded 132.5 Üst 7/10KG 7/10
Aris Thessalonikis · All games
6W 2D 2LScored 14 · conceded 142.5 Üst 5/10KG 5/10
Atromitos · All games
3W 2D 5LScored 15 · conceded 112.5 Üst 5/10KG 6/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Aris Thessalonikis · 4-2-3-1
33Ricardo Velho
2J. Pétris
3O. Richards
4Fabiano
44B. Šutalo
7B. Garré
8C. Kouamé
10U. Račić
18M. Hongla
77Bruma
9T. Kadewere
Bench
S. Dioudis, L. Majkić, Christos Kamtsis, K. Galanopoulos, D. Sanoussi, T. Dele-Bashiru, M. Voriazidis, S. Papasarafianos, Konstantinos Charoupas, O. Boussaid, F. Jensen, Rafa Mir
Atromitos · 4-2-3-1
1L. Choutesiotis
This fixture at Aris Thessalonikis's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 8
5Aris Thessalonikis won
1Draw
2Atromitos won
Aris Thessalonikis last won here on Apr 13, 2025: Aris Thessalonikis 1-0 Atromitos.Atromitos last won here on Nov 5, 2023: Aris Thessalonikis 1-3 Atromitos.2.5 goals a game here · over 2.5 6/8 · BTTS 4/8
Last 15 meetings
8Aris Thessalonikis won
5Draw
2Atromitos won
2.5 Goals per game9/15 Over 2.59/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Aris Thessalonikis – AtromitosMarch 7, 2026 · Super League 10-0
Atromitos – Aris ThessalonikisSeptember 13, 2025 · Super League 11-2
Atromitos – Aris ThessalonikisApril 26, 2025 · Super League 11-1
Aris Thessalonikis – Atromitos
9/9
Over 1.5 cards6/9
Atromitos · last 9 away5.6 corners, 2.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/9Over 4.5 corners5/9Over 5.5 corners5/9Over 0.5 cards9/9Over 1.5 cards7/9
V. Athanasiou, S. Dieng, L. Lyratzis, T. Karamanis, M. Mountes, E. Hoxha, S. Tsiloulis, A. Kotsis, K. Ofori, S. Pnevmonidis, Panagiotis Tsantilas, G. Tzovaras
April 13, 2025 · Super League 1
1-0
Aris Thessalonikis – AtromitosDecember 7, 2024 · Super League 12-1
Atromitos – Aris ThessalonikisAugust 18, 2024 · Super League 11-1
Atromitos – Aris ThessalonikisFebruary 17, 2024 · Super League 10-2
Aris Thessalonikis – AtromitosNovember 5, 2023 · Super League 11-3
Aris Thessalonikis – AtromitosFebruary 26, 2023 · Super League 12-1
Atromitos – Aris ThessalonikisNovember 5, 2022 · Super League 10-0
Aris Thessalonikis – AtromitosFebruary 23, 2022 · Super League 13-0
Atromitos – Aris ThessalonikisSeptember 27, 2021 · Super League 11-3
Aris Thessalonikis – AtromitosFebruary 28, 2021 · Super League 13-0
Atromitos – Aris ThessalonikisDecember 5, 2020 · Super League 12-2
Aris Thessalonikis – AtromitosMarch 1, 2020 · Super League 11-2
Mattheos MountesOff: Dani García
45'⇄Kelvin OforiOff: Hörður Magnússon
61'⇄S. PnevmonidisOff: Serginho
67'⇄Othman BoussaidOff: Bruma
69'Georgios Papadopoulos
78'⇄Rafa MirOff: Tino Kadewere
78'⇄Fredrik JensenOff: Christian Kouamé
80'⇄Sotiris TsiloulisOff: Juan José Perea
82'Mattheos Mountes
86'S. Pnevmonidis
90+2'VARSteven ZuberPenalty cancelled
90+3'⇄Georgios TzovarasOff: Theocharis Tsingaras
90+4'⇄Diallo SanoussiOff: Benjamin Garré
90+4'⇄Ayotomiwa Dele-BashiruOff: Uros Racic
Statistics
55%Possession45%
0.81Expected goals0.64
13Total shots7
4Shots on target3
5Corners1
18Fouls17
2Offsides3
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves1
Aris Thessalonikis scored 1.6 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Atromitos scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.
Aris Thessalonikis: 10 games · Atromitos: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.8Goals scored (avg)1.7
0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.4
2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.83.1
8/10Over 0.5league %9310/10
7/10Over 1.5league %808/10
6/10Over 2.5league %517/10
4/10Over 3.5league %334/10
2/10Over 4.5league %141/10
5/10Both scoreleague %496/10
4/10Clean sheets3/10
3/10Failed to score1/10
Aris Thessalonikis: 10 games · Atromitos: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.3Goals scored (avg)1.0
1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.4
2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.82.4
9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10
8/10Over 1.5league %807/10
6/10Over 2.5league %515/10
3/10Over 3.5league %332/10
2/10Over 4.5league %140/10
6/10Both scoreleague %497/10
2/10Clean sheets1/10
3/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%36 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Aris Thessalonikis win 364, 373 end level and Atromitos win 263. The actual result comes up 364 times in 1000.
0.81 – 0.64 The score the chances deserved (xG): Aris Thessalonikis 0.81 – 0.64 Atromitos.
8.1 Man of the match: C. Kouamé (Aris Thessalonikis), rated 8.1.
%55 Our model's pre-match chance of a Aris Thessalonikis win.