Sarıyer – Bodrum FK: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·1. Lig · Türkiye · Matchday 10

SarıyerLig A · #11

1-4Tuesday, October 13

Bodrum FKLig A · #9

Match events

SarıyerBodrum FK

7'⚽Yusuf SertkayaAssist: Tomas Cruz
9'F. Apaydın
15'⚽Vincent AboubakarAssist: Fernando
23'⚽Vincent AboubakarAssist: Boran Baskan
27'⇄Berkay AslanOff: Fernando
38'VARVincent AboubakarGoal cancelled

Chances to win

Sarıyer%44

Draw%28

Bodrum FK%28

At a glance

Over 1.5

%45Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Over 2.5%45

Sarıyer win%44

Draw%28

Bodrum FK win%28

Why?

Sarıyer: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

SarıyerD1-1W2-1D1-1L0-3W2-0

Bodrum FKL0-2D1-1W4-0L0-1D0-0

Last 2 meetings

2Sarıyer won

0Draw

0Bodrum FK won

1.0
Goals per game0/2
Over 2.50/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Sarıyer · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Bodrum FK · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Sarıyer · last 10 at home4.8 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Bodrum FK · last 10 away3.6 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

6J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz

Bench

B. Tosun, I. Tarim, E. Kaplan, M. Erdilman, F. Loshaj, E. Arslan, Berkay Aslan, Devrim Sahin, R. Providence

45'⇄André PokoOff: Marcos Silva

45'⇄Furkan GedikOff: Eren Karadağ

45'⇄Joseph AttamahOff: Tunahan Ergul

64'⇄Dogan Can DavasOff: Mamadou Thiam

69'⇄Mustafa ErdilmanOff: Boran Baskan

75'⚽Berkay AslanAssist: Mustafa Erdilman

81'⚽Dogan Can DavasAssist: Cebrail Karayel

90'⇄Florian LoshajOff: Yusuf Sertkaya

90'⇄Emre KaplanOff: F. Apaydın

90'⇄Elvir GashijaniOff: Ege Bilsel

90+1'✕Emeka EzeMissed penalty

Statistics

62%Possession38%

1.86Expected goals1.28

19Total shots15

2Shots on target8

7Corners3

9Fouls11

4Offsides3

0Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

4Saves1

Bodrum FK: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Sarıyer scored 2.0 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Bodrum FK scored 1.2 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Bodrum FK · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Sarıyer: 10 games · Bodrum FK: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.0

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.82.2

10/10Over 0.5league %949/10

8/10Over 1.5league %827/10

4/10Over 2.5league %513/10

2/10Over 3.5league %282/10

1/10Over 4.5league %151/10

4/10Both scoreleague %556/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Sarıyer: 10 games · Bodrum FK: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.4Goals conceded (avg)0.7

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.82.0

10/10Over 0.5league %947/10

9/10Over 1.5league %826/10

4/10Over 2.5league %514/10

1/10Over 3.5league %282/10

1/10Over 4.5league %151/10

6/10Both scoreleague %554/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score5/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.86 – 1.28 The score the chances deserved (xG): Sarıyer 1.86 – 1.28 Bodrum FK.

%26 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Sarıyer win 510, 227 end level and Bodrum FK win 263. The actual result comes up 263 times in 1000.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of an Bodrum FK win.

2 – 8 Shots on target: Sarıyer 2 – 8 Bodrum FK.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Sarıyer · 1. Lig

Bodrum FK · 1. Lig

Sarıyer · All games

Bodrum FK · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match