Ümraniyespor – Sarıyer: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·1. Lig · Türkiye · Matchday 9

ÜmraniyesporLig A · #14

1-1Friday, October 9

SarıyerLig A · #11

Match events

ÜmraniyesporSarıyer

17'Tomislav Glumac
23'⚽Oguz Yildirim
45'⇄Erdi DikmenOff: Işık Kaan Arslan
45'⇄Atalay BabacanOff: Berat Yılmaz
61'⇄Ali YaşarOff: Yunus Emre Gedik
61'⇄Mamadou ThiamOff: Batuhan Kor

Chances to win

Ümraniyespor%37

Draw%29

Sarıyer%34

At a glance

Over 1.5

%44Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Over 2.5%44

Ümraniyespor win%37

Sarıyer win%34

Draw%29

Why?

Ümraniyespor: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

ÜmraniyesporW1-0L1-2L0-1L0-1D2-2

SarıyerW2-1D1-1L0-3W2-0W2-1

Last 2 meetings

1Ümraniyespor won

0Draw

1Sarıyer won

3.5
Goals per game2/2
Over 2.52/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Ümraniyespor · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Sarıyer · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Ümraniyespor · last 10 at home5.2 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Sarıyer · last 10 away3.0 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners1/10Over 5.5 corners0/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

F. Akyüz, J. Attamah, E. Dikmen, Ü. Ergün, D. Davas, A. Biyogo Poko, E. Karadağ, E. Eze, M. Thiam

Dogan Can DavasOff: Barış Alıcı

61'⇄Eren KaradağOff: Furkan Gedik

78'⇄Joseph AttamahOff: Tunahan Ergul

78'⇄Kerem SenOff: Alejandro Blanco

78'⇄Bengali-Fodé KoitaOff: Serkan Göksu

Statistics

44%Possession56%

1.21Expected goals2.02

16Total shots10

7Shots on target3

4Corners3

7Fouls5

0Offsides3

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

2Saves6

Sarıyer: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Ümraniyespor scored 1.0 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sarıyer scored 0.5 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Ümraniyespor · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Sarıyer · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Ümraniyespor: 10 games · Sarıyer: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)0.7

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.82.0

9/10Over 0.5league %948/10

8/10Over 1.5league %827/10

4/10Over 2.5league %514/10

2/10Over 3.5league %281/10

1/10Over 4.5league %150/10

6/10Both scoreleague %555/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Ümraniyespor: 10 games · Sarıyer: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.1

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.82.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

7/10Over 1.5league %829/10

3/10Over 2.5league %514/10

2/10Over 3.5league %281/10

0/10Over 4.5league %151/10

5/10Both scoreleague %556/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%21 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Ümraniyespor win 225, 214 end level and Sarıyer win 561. The actual result comes up 214 times in 1000.

%29 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.21 – 2.02 The score the chances deserved (xG): Ümraniyespor 1.21 – 2.02 Sarıyer.

8.2

Man of the match: E. Karaca (Sarıyer), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Ümraniyespor · 1. Lig

Sarıyer · 1. Lig

Ümraniyespor · All games

Sarıyer · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match