Gaziantep FK – Erzurumspor FK: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Süper Lig · Türkiye · Matchday 9

Gaziantep FKSüper Lig · #14

1-3Saturday, October 24

Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig · #8

Match events

Gaziantep FKErzurumspor FK

29'⇄Y. KirtayOff: M. Yumlu
41'Myenty Abena
46'⇄A. KizildagOff: M. Abena
46'⇄S. DursunOff: T. Stewart
53'⚽M. CardosoAssist: E. Tozlu
57'⇄S. Destici
64'

Chances to win

Gaziantep FK%38

Draw%29

Erzurumspor FK%32

At a glance

Over 1.5

%46Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%52

Not both score%48

Over 2.5%46

Gaziantep FK win%38

Erzurumspor FK win%32

Draw%29

Why?

Gaziantep FK: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Gaziantep FKL1-2L0-3L0-2D0-0W4-2

Erzurumspor FKW2-0D0-0W1-0L0-3W1-0

Last 5 meetings

0Gaziantep FK won

3Draw

2Erzurumspor FK won

2.8
Goals per game3/5
Over 2.54/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Gaziantep FK · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Erzurumspor FK · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Gaziantep FK · last 9 at home5.3 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners7/9Over 5.5 corners6/9Over 0.5 cards

Erzurumspor FK · last 10 away2.7 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners0/10Over 0.5 cards6/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

Ataberk Dadakdeniz, Arda Kızıldağ, Efe Sarıkaya, Sabahattin Destici, Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo, Mirza Cihan, Karamba Gassama, Mervan Müjdeci, Serdar Dursun, Halil Dervişoğlu

Erzurumspor FK · 5-3-2

1Ertuğrul Taşkıran

4Amar Gerxhaliu

15Guram Giorbelidze

18Nihad Mujakić

22Mustafa Yumlu

53Orhan Ovacıklı

6Brandon Baiye

42Elisha Owusu

65Martín Rodríguez

10Eren Tozlu

20Miguel Cardoso

Bench

Matija Orbanić, Festy Ebosele, Yakup Kırtay, Cengizhan Bayrak, Sefa Akgün, Lawrence Agyekum, Gyrano Kerk, Ibrahim Diabaté, Nariman Akhundzade, Mustafa Fettahoglu

Gaziantep FK – Erzurumspor FKNovember 26, 2017 · 1. Lig2-2

A. GerxhaliuAssist: O. Ovacikli

71'⚽K. CalhanogluAssist: S. Dursun

74'⇄K. GassamaOff: J. Bacuna

77'⇄M. FettahogluOff: M. Cardoso

77'⇄I. DiabateOff: E. Tozlu

79'⇄H. DervisogluOff: D. Camara

83'⇄G. KerkOff: M. Rodriguez

86'Kacper Kozłowski

90'⚽G. GiorbelidzeAssist: M. Fettahoglu

Statistics

62%Possession38%

1.15Expected goals0.65

21Total shots10

7Shots on target3

5Corners2

10Fouls7

1Offsides2

2Yellow cards0

0Saves7

89%Pass accuracy79%

Erzurumspor FK: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Gaziantep FK scored 0.8 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Erzurumspor FK scored 1.0 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Gaziantep FK · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Erzurumspor FK · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Gaziantep FK: 10 games · Erzurumspor FK: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.92.3

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

9/10Over 1.5league %778/10

5/10Over 2.5league %594/10

1/10Over 3.5league %312/10

0/10Over 4.5league %160/10

6/10Both scoreleague %455/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

Gaziantep FK: 10 games · Erzurumspor FK: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.92.2

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

8/10Over 1.5league %777/10

6/10Over 2.5league %594/10

3/10Over 3.5league %312/10

1/10Over 4.5league %160/10

5/10Both scoreleague %453/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%21 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Gaziantep FK win 454, 332 end level and Erzurumspor FK win 214. The actual result comes up 214 times in 1000.

1.05 – 0.62 The score the chances deserved (xG): Gaziantep FK 1.05 – 0.62 Erzurumspor FK.

19 – 8 Shots: Gaziantep FK 19 – 8 Erzurumspor FK.

7 – 2 Shots on target: Gaziantep FK 7 – 2 Erzurumspor FK.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig

Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig

Gaziantep FK · All games

Erzurumspor FK · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Gaziantep FK's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match