Energie Cottbus – VfL Bochum: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·2. Bundesliga · Germany · Matchday 10

Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga · #11

1-2Friday, October 30

VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga · #10

Match events

Energie CottbusVfL Bochum

9'Tom Meyer
20'Timo Horn
21'⚽Tolcay CigerciPenalty
25'King Samuel Manu
26'⇄Charlie PatinoOff: Tom Meyer
45'⇄Christian Theodor Kjelder RasmussenOff: Gerrit Holtmann

Chances to win

Energie Cottbus%33

Draw%25

VfL Bochum%41

At a glance

Over 1.5

%64Over 2.5

%66Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%64Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%66

VfL Bochum win%41

Under 2.5%36

Not both score%34

Energie Cottbus win%33

Draw%25

Why?

Energie Cottbus: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Energie CottbusD1-1D1-1L1-3D1-1W3-0

VfL BochumW2-0D1-1L0-2L0-1L1-2

Last 6 meetings

1Energie Cottbus won

2Draw

3VfL Bochum won

2.2
Goals per game2/6
Over 2.53/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Energie Cottbus · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

VfL Bochum · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Energie Cottbus · last 5 at home6.2 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/5Over 4.5 corners3/5Over 5.5 corners3/5Over 0.5 cards4/5Over 1.5 cards

VfL Bochum · last 10 away4.5 corners, 3.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards10/10

Bench

T. Casali, Y. Karademir, L. Sawas, C. Patino, L. Isbruch, C. Rasmussen, J. Steuckers, D. Hanslik, M. Ouro-Tagba

Energie Cottbus – Vfl BochumApril 20, 2012 · 2. Bundesliga1-1

Vfl Bochum – Energie CottbusNovember 21, 2011 · 2. Bundesliga0-1

Philipp HofmannGoal cancelled

56'VARJustin ButlerGoal cancelled

64'⇄Jarne SteuckersOff: Koji Miyoshi

65'⇄Dominik PelivanOff: Lukas Michelbrink

65'⇄Jannis BoziarisOff: Lucas Copado

70'⚽Philipp HofmannAssist: Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen

72'Michael Steinwender

75'⇄Christian KinsombiOff: Tolcay Cigerci

75'⇄Dmytro BogdanovOff: Justin Butler

81'⇄Lasse IsbruchOff: Berkan Taz

81'⇄Leon SawasOff: Maximilian Wittek

88'⚽Christian Theodor Kjelder RasmussenAssist: Mats Henry Pannewig

Statistics

55%Possession45%

1.41Expected goals1.32

14Total shots12

5Shots on target3

5Corners4

2Fouls19

1Offsides4

1Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

1Saves3

VfL Bochum: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Energie Cottbus scored 1.9 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

VfL Bochum scored 1.1 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Energie Cottbus · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

VfL Bochum · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Energie Cottbus: 10 games · VfL Bochum: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.02.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

10/10Over 1.5league %769/10

6/10Over 2.5league %576/10

3/10Over 3.5league %331/10

2/10Over 4.5league %161/10

8/10Both scoreleague %577/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Energie Cottbus: 10 games · VfL Bochum: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.1

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.02.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

10/10Over 1.5league %768/10

6/10Over 2.5league %574/10

3/10Over 3.5league %330/10

2/10Over 4.5league %160/10

7/10Both scoreleague %576/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%35 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Energie Cottbus win 393, 256 end level and VfL Bochum win 351. The actual result comes up 351 times in 1000.

88'

Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen decided it in minute 88.

1.41 – 1.32 The score the chances deserved (xG): Energie Cottbus 1.41 – 1.32 VfL Bochum.

8.2

Man of the match: P. Hofmann (VfL Bochum), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga

VfL Bochum · 2. Bundesliga

Energie Cottbus · All games

VfL Bochum · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Energie Cottbus's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match