VfL Osnabrück – SpVgg Greuther Fürth: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·2. Bundesliga · Germany · Matchday 9

VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga · #9

3-0Sunday, October 25

SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga · #13

Match events

VfL OsnabrückSpVgg Greuther Fürth

30'Patrick Kammerbauer
37'⚽Daniel-Kofi KyerehAssist: Robin Meißner
39'⚽Robin MeißnerAssist: Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
45'⇄Konrad FaberOff: Patrick Kammerbauer
56'⇄Omar SillahOff: Shinta Karl Appelkamp
56'⇄Faton AdemiOff: Sacha Banse

Chances to win

VfL Osnabrück%45

Draw%25

SpVgg Greuther Fürth%29

At a glance

Over 1.5

%59Over 2.5

%62Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%62

VfL Osnabrück win%45

Under 2.5%41

Not both score%38

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win%29

Draw%25

Why?

VfL Osnabrück: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

VfL OsnabrückL1-2D1-1D1-1L1-3W3-1

SpVgg Greuther FürthW2-0L1-2D1-1D1-1L0-1

Last 6 meetings

2VfL Osnabrück won

2Draw

2SpVgg Greuther Fürth won

1.8
Goals per game1/6
Over 2.51/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

VfL Osnabrück · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

VfL Osnabrück · last 5 at home3.2 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/5Over 4.5 corners1/5Over 5.5 corners0/5Over 0.5 cards4/5Over 1.5 cards

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · last 10 away7.1 corners, 0.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards5/10Over 1.5 cards2/10

Bench

C. Ortag, K. Keresztes, A. Keller, M. Wallentowitz, D. Arifi, F. Ademi, Olgherto Balliu, D. Srbeny, O. Sillah

September 20, 2020 · 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Furth – VfL OsnabruckMay 26, 2020 · 2. Bundesliga0-2

VfL Osnabruck – SpVgg Greuther FurthOctober 27, 2019 · 2. Bundesliga0-0

Mika WallentowitzOff: Jannik Dehm

67'⇄Dennis SrbenyOff: Jordan Siebatcheu

67'⇄Ismail BadjieOff: Daniel-Kofi Kyereh

76'⇄Bernd RiesselmannOff: Leonhard Luis Munst

76'⇄Aaron KellerOff: Ole Pohlmann

77'⇄Theo JanottaOff: Jannik Müller

88'⇄Fridolin WagnerOff: Bjarke Jacobsen

Statistics

42%Possession58%

2.5Expected goals0.64

14Total shots13

9Shots on target1

6Corners7

8Fouls6

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

1Saves6

SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

VfL Osnabrück scored 1.8 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored 1.2 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

VfL Osnabrück · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

VfL Osnabrück: 10 games · SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.02.8

10/10Over 0.5league %949/10

9/10Over 1.5league %768/10

7/10Over 2.5league %576/10

4/10Over 3.5league %332/10

1/10Over 4.5league %161/10

6/10Both scoreleague %577/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

VfL Osnabrück: 10 games · SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.03.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

9/10Over 1.5league %769/10

6/10Over 2.5league %575/10

3/10Over 3.5league %332/10

1/10Over 4.5league %162/10

6/10Both scoreleague %577/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%78 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), VfL Osnabrück win 780, 146 end level and SpVgg Greuther Fürth win 75. The actual result comes up 780 times in 1000.

2.50 – 0.64 The score the chances deserved (xG): VfL Osnabrück 2.50 – 0.64 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

9 – 1 Shots on target: VfL Osnabrück 9 – 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

8.5

Man of the match: R. Meißner (VfL Osnabrück), rated 8.5.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga

VfL Osnabrück · All games

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at VfL Osnabrück's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match