SpVgg Greuther Fürth – Eintracht Braunschweig: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·2. Bundesliga · Germany · Matchday 8

SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga · #13

2-0Saturday, October 17

Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga · #12

Match events

SpVgg Greuther FürthEintracht Braunschweig

32'⚽Felix KlausAssist: Lukas Reich
45'⇄Robin HeusserOff: Samuele Di Benedetto
63'⚽Felix KlausAssist: Sacha Banse
64'⇄Noah KatterbachOff: Fabio Di Michele Sanchez
64'⇄Jovan MijatovicOff: Aaron Opoku
66'⇄Dennis SrbenyOff: Shinta Karl Appelkamp

Chances to win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth%45

Draw%25

Eintracht Braunschweig%30

At a glance

Over 1.5

%62Over 2.5

%64Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%64

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win%45

Under 2.5%38

Not both score%36

Eintracht Braunschweig win%30

Draw%25

Why?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

SpVgg Greuther FürthL1-2D1-1D1-1L0-1W4-3

Eintracht BraunschweigW1-0L0-1D2-2L1-3L3-5

Last 8 meetings

3SpVgg Greuther Fürth won

3Draw

2Eintracht Braunschweig won

2.8
Goals per game4/8
Over 2.53/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Eintracht Braunschweig · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · last 10 at home5.1 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Eintracht Braunschweig · last 10 away4.1 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

22F. Di Michele Sanchez

Bench

B. Uphoff, N. Katterbach, A. Hoti, T. Wagner, R. Heußer, S. Raebiger, J. Mijatović, Junior Arlet Zé, S. Sané

September 21, 2024 · 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth – Eintracht BraunschweigMay 4, 2024 · 2. Bundesliga3-3

Eintracht Braunschweig – SpVgg Greuther FürthDecember 2, 2023 · 2. Bundesliga0-1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth – Eintracht BraunschweigMay 13, 2023 · 2. Bundesliga2-2

Eintracht Braunschweig – SpVgg Greuther FürthNovember 6, 2022 · 2. Bundesliga0-1

73'⇄Jordan SiebatcheuOff: Omar Sillah

74'⇄Krisztián KeresztesOff: Gian-Luca Itter

79'⇄Arlet Junior ZéOff: Lukas Frenkert

88'⇄Faton AdemiOff: Felix Klaus

88'⇄Aaron KellerOff: Ole Pohlmann

Statistics

46%Possession54%

0.71Expected goals1.31

13Total shots18

3Shots on target4

6Corners9

8Fouls9

1Offsides0

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

3Saves1

Eintracht Braunschweig: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored 1.5 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Eintracht Braunschweig scored 1.2 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 10 games · Eintracht Braunschweig: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.02.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

9/10Over 1.5league %767/10

4/10Over 2.5league %574/10

2/10Over 3.5league %334/10

2/10Over 4.5league %162/10

5/10Both scoreleague %574/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score5/10

SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 10 games · Eintracht Braunschweig: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.8Goals conceded (avg)2.1

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.03.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

9/10Over 1.5league %767/10

5/10Over 2.5league %575/10

2/10Over 3.5league %335/10

2/10Over 4.5league %162/10

7/10Both scoreleague %575/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%20 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), SpVgg Greuther Fürth win 202, 288 end level and Eintracht Braunschweig win 510. The actual result comes up 202 times in 1000.

0.71 – 1.31 The score the chances deserved (xG): SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.71 – 1.31 Eintracht Braunschweig.

9.4

Man of the match: F. Klaus (SpVgg Greuther Fürth), rated 9.4.

%45 Our model's pre-match chance of a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga

Eintracht Braunschweig · 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · All games

Eintracht Braunschweig · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at SpVgg Greuther Fürth's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match