The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.
%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed
Other scenarios
Over 2.5%59
Under 2.5%41
Holstein Kiel win%41
Not both score%38
Dynamo Dresden win%33
Draw%26
Why?
Holstein Kiel: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Holstein KielD0-0L0-1D1-1L0-1D2-2
Dynamo DresdenW2-0D1-1L1-2D2-2L1-2
Last 14 meetings
10Holstein Kiel won
2Draw
2Dynamo Dresden won
2.4 Goals per game9/14 Over 2.56/14 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Holstein Kiel · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Dynamo Dresden · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 5 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Holstein Kiel · last 10 at home6.8 corners, 2.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners5/10
Referee
Timo Gerach4.7 cards a match in 14 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga
0W 5D 5LScored 9 · conceded 162.5 Üst 5/10KG 6/10
Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga
3W 2D 5LScored 14 · conceded 182.5 Üst 7/10KG 7/10
Holstein Kiel · All games
1W 5D 4LScored 10 · conceded 132.5 Üst 4/10KG 5/10
Dynamo Dresden · All games
4W 2D 4LScored 19 · conceded 162.5 Üst 7/10KG 6/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Holstein Kiel · 4-4-2
1T. Weiner
5N. Madsen
26D. Zec
32H. Sekine
40Leon Parduzi
11G. de Regt
15K. Davidsen
20A. Kaprálik
28J. Meffert
9G. Kvilitaia
19P. Harres
Bench
I. Nekić, J. Tolkin, J. Therkelsen, I. Ugoh, T. Tasdelen, T. Wiese, F. Alidou, Mark Richter Monserrat
Dynamo Dresden · 4-2-3-1
22L. Grill
6N. Rapp
This fixture at Holstein Kiel's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 7
6Holstein Kiel won
0Draw
1Dynamo Dresden won
Holstein Kiel last won here on Dec 20, 2025: Holstein Kiel 2-1 Dynamo Dresden.Dynamo Dresden last won here on Oct 24, 2015: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Dynamo Dresden.2.6 goals a game here · over 2.5 5/7 · BTTS 3/7
Last 14 meetings
10Holstein Kiel won
2Draw
2Dynamo Dresden won
2.4 Goals per game9/14 Over 2.56/14 Both score
Previous meetings
Dynamo Dresden – Holstein KielMay 17, 2026 · 2. Bundesliga2-1
Holstein Kiel – Dynamo DresdenDecember 20, 2025 · 2. Bundesliga2-1
Dynamo Dresden – Holstein KielApril 16, 2022 · 2. Bundesliga0-0
Holstein Kiel – Dynamo Dresden
Over 0.5 cards
10/10
Over 1.5 cards10/10
Dynamo Dresden · last 10 away6.9 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners9/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards7/10Over 1.5 cards5/10
Holstein Kiel · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10
Dynamo Dresden · last 10 away: both scored 7 times7/10
Holstein Kiel: 10 games · Dynamo Dresden: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.5Goals scored (avg)1.7
0.9Goals conceded (avg)2.1
2.4Total goals per gameleague 3.03.8
8/10Over 0.5league %9410/10
8/10Over 1.5league %7610/10
5/10Over 2.5league %578/10
3/10Over 3.5league %334/10
0/10Over 4.5league %162/10
5/10Both scoreleague %576/10
5/10Clean sheets2/10
2/10Failed to score2/10
Holstein Kiel: 10 games · Dynamo Dresden: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.1Goals scored (avg)1.9
1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.5
2.1Total goals per gameleague 3.03.4
9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10
7/10Over 1.5league %769/10
3/10Over 2.5league %576/10
2/10Over 3.5league %333/10
0/10Over 4.5league %162/10
4/10Both scoreleague %575/10
3/10Clean sheets4/10
4/10Failed to score1/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
6 Holstein Kiel: a 6-match wait for a win is over.
1.47 – 2.04 The score the chances deserved (xG): Holstein Kiel 1.47 – 2.04 Dynamo Dresden.
%28 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Holstein Kiel win 278, 214 end level and Dynamo Dresden win 508. The actual result comes up 278 times in 1000.
5 – 10 Corners: Holstein Kiel 5 – 10 Dynamo Dresden.
Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga · #14
Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga · #15