SV Darmstadt 98 – FC St. Pauli: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·2. Bundesliga · Germany · Matchday 9

SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga · #18

0-0Friday, October 23

FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga · #8

Match events

SV Darmstadt 98FC St. Pauli

7'Arkadiusz Pyrka
26'Abdoulie Ceesay
26'Raoul Petretta
45'⇄Martijn KaarsOff: Abdoulie Ceesay
45'⇄Adam DźwigałaOff: Arkadiusz Pyrka
45'⇄Samuel KleinOff: Mathias Rasmussen

Chances to win

SV Darmstadt 98%33

Draw%27

FC St. Pauli%40

At a glance

Over 1.5

%53Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%53

Under 2.5%47

Not both score%43

FC St. Pauli win%40

SV Darmstadt 98 win%33

Draw%27

Why?

SV Darmstadt 98: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

SV Darmstadt 98L0-4W3-1L1-5W2-1L0-3

FC St. PauliD1-1W2-0D1-1W1-0D2-2

Last 14 meetings

9SV Darmstadt 98 won

2Draw

3FC St. Pauli won

2.6
Goals per game8/14
Over 2.55/14
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

SV Darmstadt 98 · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

FC St. Pauli · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

SV Darmstadt 98 · last 10 at home4.9 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

FC St. Pauli · last 10 away3.5 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

D. Mitov, M. Mathisen, T. Ando, A. Dźwigała, Samuel Klein, B. Hrgota, T. Hara, M. Kaars, R. Jones

November 20, 2021 · 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli – SV Darmstadt 98February 20, 2021 · 2. Bundesliga3-2

SV Darmstadt 98 – FC St. PauliOctober 24, 2020 · 2. Bundesliga2-2

SV Darmstadt 98 – FC St. PauliMay 23, 2020 · 2. Bundesliga4-0

FC St. Pauli – SV Darmstadt 98October 19, 2019 · 2. Bundesliga0-1

SV Darmstadt 98 – FC St. PauliJanuary 29, 2019 · 2. Bundesliga2-1

FC St. Pauli – SV Darmstadt 98August 10, 2018 · 2. Bundesliga2-0

FC St. Pauli – SV Darmstadt 98January 28, 2018 · 2. Bundesliga0-1

SV Darmstadt 98 – FC St. PauliAugust 18, 2017 · 2. Bundesliga3-0

SV Darmstadt 98 – FC St. PauliMay 24, 2015 · 2. Bundesliga1-0

FC St. Pauli – SV Darmstadt 98December 14, 2014 · 2. Bundesliga0-1

62'⇄Lee Ho-JaeOff: Fynn-Luca Lakenmacher

62'⇄Nicolas VerkooijenOff: Marco Richter

67'⇄Taichi HaraOff: Youssoupha Niang

84'⇄Branimir HrgotaOff: Connor Metcalfe

85'⇄Lance DuijvestijnOff: Milan Smit

90+2'William Mikelbrencis

90+4'⇄Christopher LannertOff: William Mikelbrencis

Statistics

36%Possession64%

0.81Expected goals1.91

12Total shots18

0Shots on target2

2Corners6

13Fouls13

3Offsides2

3Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

2Saves0

FC St. Pauli: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

SV Darmstadt 98 scored 1.5 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

FC St. Pauli scored 0.9 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

SV Darmstadt 98 · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

FC St. Pauli · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

SV Darmstadt 98: 10 games · FC St. Pauli: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.02.3

9/10Over 0.5league %949/10

8/10Over 1.5league %769/10

4/10Over 2.5league %573/10

3/10Over 3.5league %332/10

1/10Over 4.5league %160/10

5/10Both scoreleague %576/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

4/10Failed to score4/10

SV Darmstadt 98: 10 games · FC St. Pauli: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.7Total goals per gameleague 3.02.2

9/10Over 0.5league %949/10

7/10Over 1.5league %768/10

6/10Over 2.5league %573/10

3/10Over 3.5league %332/10

1/10Over 4.5league %160/10

4/10Both scoreleague %576/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

5/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%22 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), SV Darmstadt 98 win 152, 215 end level and FC St. Pauli win 633. The actual result comes up 215 times in 1000.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.81 – 1.91 The score the chances deserved (xG): SV Darmstadt 98 0.81 – 1.91 FC St. Pauli.

7.2

Man of the match: C. Metcalfe (FC St. Pauli), rated 7.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 14 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

SV Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt 98 · All games

FC St. Pauli · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at SV Darmstadt 98's ground

Last 14 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match