Hannover 96 – FC St. Pauli: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·2. Bundesliga · Germany · Matchday 8

Hannover 962. Bundesliga · #16

1-1Saturday, October 17

FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga · #8

Match events

Hannover 96FC St. Pauli

8'Husseyn Chakroun
9'VARHusseyn ChakrounGoal cancelled
17'Stefán Teitur Thórdarson
45+1'⚽Abdoulie CeesayAssist: Louis Oppie
48'⚽Husseyn Chakroun
62'⇄Martijn KaarsOff: Youssoupha Niang
62'

Chances to win

Hannover 96%41

Draw%26

FC St. Pauli%33

At a glance

Over 1.5

%57Over 2.5

%61Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%61Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%57

Under 2.5%43

Hannover 96 win%41

Not both score%39

FC St. Pauli win%33

Draw%26

Why?

Hannover 96: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Hannover 96L0-3W2-1L1-2D2-2W1-0

FC St. PauliW2-0D1-1W1-0D2-2L1-2

Last 4 meetings

0Hannover 96 won

2Draw

2FC St. Pauli won

2.3
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Hannover 96 · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

FC St. Pauli · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Hannover 96 · last 10 at home8.0 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

FC St. Pauli · last 10 away3.5 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

D. Mitov, T. Ando, A. Dźwigała, E. Ahlstrand, Samuel Klein, B. Hrgota, T. Hara, M. Kaars, R. Jones

Samuel KleinOff: Mathias Rasmussen

68'⇄Benedikt PichlerOff: Kolja Oudenne

75'⇄Hayate MatsudaOff: Husseyn Chakroun

78'⇄Bastian AllgeierOff: Marcel Hartel

85'⇄Ricky-Jade JonesOff: Abdoulie Ceesay

86'⇄Branimir HrgotaOff: Connor Metcalfe

90+2'Joel Chima Fujita

90+4'⇄Taichi HaraOff: Ricky-Jade Jones

Statistics

43%Possession57%

1.35Expected goals1

13Total shots15

4Shots on target6

3Corners3

11Fouls11

4Offsides2

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

5Saves3

FC St. Pauli: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Hannover 96 scored 1.4 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

FC St. Pauli scored 0.8 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Hannover 96 · last 10 at home: both scored 7 times7/10

FC St. Pauli · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Hannover 96: 10 games · FC St. Pauli: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.02.3

10/10Over 0.5league %949/10

8/10Over 1.5league %769/10

4/10Over 2.5league %573/10

3/10Over 3.5league %332/10

2/10Over 4.5league %160/10

7/10Both scoreleague %576/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Hannover 96: 10 games · FC St. Pauli: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.02.2

10/10Over 0.5league %949/10

8/10Over 1.5league %768/10

5/10Over 2.5league %573/10

2/10Over 3.5league %332/10

1/10Over 4.5league %160/10

5/10Both scoreleague %576/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%28 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Hannover 96 win 448, 275 end level and FC St. Pauli win 277. The actual result comes up 275 times in 1000.

%26 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.35 – 1.00 The score the chances deserved (xG): Hannover 96 1.35 – 1.00 FC St. Pauli.

7.8

Man of the match: Abdoulie Ceesay (FC St. Pauli), rated 7.8.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Hannover 96 · 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga

Hannover 96 · All games

FC St. Pauli · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Hannover 96's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match