1. FC Magdeburg – Hannover 96: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·2. Bundesliga · Germany · Matchday 7

1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga · #5

3-0Saturday, October 10

Hannover 962. Bundesliga · #16

Match events

1. FC MagdeburgHannover 96

3'⚽Moritz-Broni Kwarteng
18'Emir Sahiti
30'⚽Emmanuel Iyoha
45'⇄Waniss TaibiOff: Franz Roggow
45'⇄Husseyn ChakrounOff: Emir Sahiti
60'⇄Daniel HeberOff: Tobias Müller
62'

Chances to win

1. FC Magdeburg%40

Draw%24

Hannover 96%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%68Over 2.5

%69Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%68Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%69

1. FC Magdeburg win%40

Hannover 96 win%36

Under 2.5%32

Not both score%31

Draw%24

Why?

1. FC Magdeburg: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

1. FC MagdeburgD1-1W3-0L1-2W2-0W4-0

Hannover 96W2-1L1-2D2-2W1-0W9-1

Last 8 meetings

11. FC Magdeburg won

1Draw

6Hannover 96 won

2.9
Goals per game7/8
Over 2.54/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

1. FC Magdeburg · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Hannover 96 · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

1. FC Magdeburg · last 10 at home4.5 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Hannover 96 · last 10 away5.6 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

P. Loretz, V. Ghiță, I. Okon, H. Matsuda, W. Taïbi, B. Pichler, H. Chakroun, Taycan Macid Etcibasi

1. FC Magdeburg – Hannover 96March 31, 2024 · 2. Bundesliga0-3

Hannover 96 – 1. FC MagdeburgOctober 20, 2023 · 2. Bundesliga2-1

Hannover 96 – 1. FC MagdeburgFebruary 26, 2023 · 2. Bundesliga1-2

1. FC Magdeburg – Hannover 96August 19, 2022 · 2. Bundesliga0-4

64'⇄Benedikt PichlerOff: Benjamin Källman

71'⇄Virgil GhițăOff: Jean Hugonet

73'⇄Felipe ChávezOff: Luka Hyryläinen

73'⇄Taycan EtcibasiOff: Kolja Oudenne

86'⚽Mateusz ZukowskiAssist: Felipe Chávez

87'⇄Richmond TachieOff: Emmanuel Iyoha

88'⇄Paul JäckelOff: Pierre Nadjombe

88'⇄Roko SimicOff: Mateusz Zukowski

Statistics

49%Possession51%

1.41Expected goals0.88

18Total shots15

8Shots on target4

9Corners7

8Fouls16

3Offsides0

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves6

Hannover 96: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

1. FC Magdeburg scored 1.5 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Hannover 96 scored 2.4 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Hannover 96 · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

1. FC Magdeburg: 10 games · Hannover 96: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.3Total goals per gameleague 3.03.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %769/10

5/10Over 2.5league %576/10

3/10Over 3.5league %334/10

3/10Over 4.5league %161/10

4/10Both scoreleague %576/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

1. FC Magdeburg: 10 games · Hannover 96: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.03.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

10/10Over 1.5league %768/10

7/10Over 2.5league %575/10

3/10Over 3.5league %332/10

2/10Over 4.5league %161/10

4/10Both scoreleague %575/10

5/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.41 – 0.88 The score the chances deserved (xG): 1. FC Magdeburg 1.41 – 0.88 Hannover 96.

%49 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), 1. FC Magdeburg win 494, 272 end level and Hannover 96 win 235. The actual result comes up 494 times in 1000.

8.2

Man of the match: M. Kwarteng (1. FC Magdeburg), rated 8.2.

%40 Our model's pre-match chance of a 1. FC Magdeburg win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga

Hannover 96 · 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg · All games

Hannover 96 · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at 1. FC Magdeburg's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match