Rio Ave – Famalicao: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Primeira Liga · Portugal · Matchday 9

Rio AvePrimeira Liga · #16

0-4Sunday, October 25

FamalicaoPrimeira Liga · #11

Match events

Rio AveFamalicao

40'Vasco César Freire de Seabra
42'Miguel Patricío
48'⚽Roméo BeneyAssist: Rodrigo Pinheiro
60'⇄Pedro SantosOff: Georgios Koutsias
60'⇄Patricio SalasOff: Tamás Szűcs
65'⇄Jose Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis GoncalvesOff: João Tomé Baptista

Chances to win

Rio Ave%26

Draw%28

Famalicao%46

At a glance

Over 1.5

%46Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Over 2.5%46

Famalicao win%46

Draw%28

Rio Ave win%26

Why?

Rio Ave: 2 or fewer goals in 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Rio AveW1-0W3-2L0-1D3-3L0-4

FamalicaoL0-1L1-4W4-0D1-1D2-2

Last 13 meetings

1Rio Ave won

8Draw

4Famalicao won

1.8
Goals per game4/13
Over 2.57/13
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Rio Ave · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Famalicao · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Rio Ave · last 10 at home6.1 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners5/10

Famalicao · last 9 away5.9 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners5/9Over 5.5 corners4/9Over 0.5 cards9/9Over 1.5 cards7/9

Bench

I. Zlobin, Gabriel, F. van Breemen, V. Serafimović, Marcos Peña, Paulo Moreira, Mathis Jangeal, U. Abubakar, Pedro Santos, Óscar Aranda, P. Salas

Famalicao – Rio AveFebruary 16, 2024 · Primeira Liga2-1

Rio Ave – FamalicaoSeptember 16, 2023 · Primeira Liga1-1

Rio Ave – FamalicaoMay 26, 2023 · Primeira Liga2-2

Famalicao – Rio AveJanuary 22, 2023 · Primeira Liga0-0

Rio Ave – FamalicaoFebruary 21, 2021 · Primeira Liga0-1

Rio Ave – FamalicaoDecember 12, 2020 · Taça de Portugal2-1

Famalicao – Rio AveOctober 4, 2020 · Primeira Liga1-1

Rio Ave – FamalicaoFebruary 1, 2020 · Primeira Liga2-2

Famalicao – Rio AveAugust 16, 2019 · Primeira Liga1-0

Malik SelloukiOff: Sebastian Clemensen

66'⇄Paulo MoreiraOff: Roméo Beney

77'⇄Roland GalcikOff: Miguel Patricío

80'⚽Pedro SantosAssist: Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura

80'Jose Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis Goncalves

82'⇄Dario ŠpikićOff: Georgios Liavas

82'⇄Tamble Ulisses Folgado MonteiroOff: Diogo Bezerra

83'⇄Óscar Aranda SubielaOff: Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura

83'⇄Marcos PeñaOff: Tom Van De Looi

85'⚽Óscar Aranda SubielaAssist: Pedro Santos

90+3'Francisco Petrasso

90+5'⚽Óscar Aranda SubielaPenalty

Statistics

58%Possession42%

0.66Expected goals1.71

7Total shots12

2Shots on target5

4Corners2

21Fouls15

0Offsides0

3Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

1Saves2

Famalicao: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Rio Ave scored 1.2 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Famalicao scored 1.4 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Famalicao · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Rio Ave: 10 games · Famalicao: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.6

2.4Goals conceded (avg)0.9

3.6Total goals per gameleague 2.72.5

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

9/10Over 1.5league %746/10

8/10Over 2.5league %555/10

6/10Over 3.5league %355/10

3/10Over 4.5league %100/10

6/10Both scoreleague %494/10

1/10Clean sheets4/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

Rio Ave: 10 games · Famalicao: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.4

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.72.6

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

7/10Over 1.5league %747/10

5/10Over 2.5league %555/10

5/10Over 3.5league %354/10

2/10Over 4.5league %101/10

2/10Both scoreleague %495/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

6/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

0.66 – 1.71 The score the chances deserved (xG): Rio Ave 0.66 – 1.71 Famalicao.

%63 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Rio Ave win 140, 233 end level and Famalicao win 627. The actual result comes up 627 times in 1000.

8.2

Man of the match: R. Beney (Famalicao), rated 8.2.

%46 Our model's pre-match chance of an Famalicao win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 13 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Rio Ave · Primeira Liga

Famalicao · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave · All games

Famalicao · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Rio Ave's ground

Last 13 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match