The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.
%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed
Other scenarios
Over 2.5%50
Under 2.5%50
Not both score%45
Alverca win%45
Draw%28
Arouca win%27
Why?
Alverca: both sides scored in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
AlvercaD0-0W4-1W1-0W3-1L1-2
AroucaD3-3W1-0D2-2L1-2D0-0
Last 2 meetings
1Alverca won
0Draw
1Arouca won
2.0 Goals per game1/2 Over 2.51/2 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Alverca · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 5 games it led at half-time.
Arouca · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Alverca · last 10 at home5.7 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
P. Ramalho5.0 cards a match in 16 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Alverca · Primeira Liga
3W 3D 4LScored 14 · conceded 142.5 Üst 5/10KG 7/10
Arouca · Primeira Liga
6W 2D 2LScored 17 · conceded 92.5 Üst 6/10KG 5/10
Alverca · All games
3W 3D 4LScored 13 · conceded 132.5 Üst 5/10KG 6/10
Arouca · All games
5W 3D 2LScored 17 · conceded 112.5 Üst 6/10KG 5/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Alverca · 3-4-3
31Matheus Mendes
12I. James
14S. Baseya
21Sergi Gómez
6D. Gui
20Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques
35Rayan
55Francisco Chissumba
10Chiquinho
19D. Camara
22Figueiredo
Bench
Jhonatan, Y. Bojang, Vasco Moreira, Ian Luccas, Zé Rafael, Zoubdi, André Vidigal, Vivaldo Semedo, C. Nuozzi, S. Merheg, Matheus França
Arouca · 4-2-3-1
12I. de Arruabarrena
Last 2 meetings
1Alverca won
0Draw
1Arouca won
2.0 Goals per game1/2 Over 2.51/2 Both score
Previous meetings
Alverca – AroucaApril 24, 2026 · Primeira Liga2-1
Arouca – AlvercaDecember 14, 2025 · Primeira Liga1-0
5/10
Over 0.5 cards8/10
Over 1.5 cards4/10
Arouca · last 9 away2.9 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/9Over 4.5 corners2/9Over 5.5 corners1/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards5/9
J. Vinarčík, L. Shahar, Diogo Monteiro, B. Popović, Mario Climent, Pablo Gozálbez, Lee Hyun-Ju, Mateo Flores, F. Mayulu, G. Rukavina, D. Nandín, B. Mansilla
⇄
Mateo FloresOff: Pedro Santos
62'⇄Matheus FrancaOff: Dawda Camara Sankharé
67'⇄Dylan NandínOff: Iván Barbero
67'⇄Boris PopovicOff: Jose Fontán
71'Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos
75'⇄Nabil TouaiziOff: Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos
75'⇄Zé RafaelOff: Davy Gui
79'⇄Lee Hyun-ju Off: Taichi Fukui
79'⇄Brian MansillaOff: Alfonso Trezza
90+4'André Vidigal
Statistics
29%Possession71%
0.43Expected goals2.06
10Total shots17
1Shots on target4
3Corners3
9Fouls14
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards2
2Red cards0
3Saves1
Arouca: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 away matches.
Alverca scored 1.3 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Arouca scored 1.1 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.