1. FC Köln – FC Schalke 04: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Bundesliga · Germany · Matchday 7

1. FC KölnBundesliga · #12

0-0Saturday, October 24

FC Schalke 04Bundesliga · #16

Match events

1. FC KölnFC Schalke 04

43'⇄Janik BachmannOff: Soufiane El-Faouzi
43'⇄Vitalie BeckerOff: Robin Gosens
45+2'Tom Krauß
68'⇄Luca WaldschmidtOff: Mikey Moore
71'Junior Dina Ebimbe
80'⇄Paul Okon-EngstlerOff: Tom Krauß

Chances to win

1. FC Köln%47

Draw%25

FC Schalke 04%27

At a glance

Over 1.5

%57Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%59

1. FC Köln win%47

Under 2.5%43

Not both score%41

FC Schalke 04 win%27

Draw%25

Why?

1. FC Köln: 3+ goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

1. FC KölnL0-1W2-1L1-2D1-1L1-4

FC Schalke 04L0-1L1-2D0-0W3-1D0-0

Last 15 meetings

71. FC Köln won

7Draw

1FC Schalke 04 won

2.6
Goals per game8/15
Over 2.510/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

1. FC Köln · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

FC Schalke 04 · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

1. FC Köln · last 10 at home5.7 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

FC Schalke 04 · last 10 away4.4 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey

8Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson

Bench

R. Zieler, J. Schmied, G. Mensah, A. Castro-Montes, Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler, J. Thielmann, L. Waldschmidt, Reigan Heskey, M. El Mala

FC Schalke 04 · 3-4-2-1

1L. Karius

4H. Kuruçay

5T. Becker

25N. Katić

8R. Gosens

13S. Tanaka

20J. Adamu

23S. El-Faouzi

24A. Aouchiche

29J. Dina Ebimbe

7Hwang Hee-Chan

Bench

K. Müller, Vitalie Becker, M. Ayhan, J. Bachmann, F. Porath, L. Vozar, E. Džeko, B. Lasme

1. FC Köln – FC Schalke 04January 27, 2022 · Friendlies Clubs2-2

1. FC Köln – FC Schalke 04May 22, 2021 · Bundesliga1-0

FC Schalke 04 – 1. FC KölnJanuary 20, 2021 · Bundesliga1-2

1. FC Köln – FC Schalke 04February 29, 2020 · Bundesliga3-0

FC Schalke 04 – 1. FC KölnOctober 5, 2019 · Bundesliga1-1

1. FC Köln – FC Schalke 04October 31, 2018 · DFB Pokal1-1

1. FC Köln – FC Schalke 04April 22, 2018 · Bundesliga2-2

FC Schalke 04 – 1. FC KölnDecember 19, 2017 · DFB Pokal1-0

FC Schalke 04 – 1. FC KölnDecember 2, 2017 · Bundesliga2-2

1. FC Köln – FC Schalke 04February 19, 2017 · Bundesliga1-1

FC Schalke 04 – 1. FC KölnSeptember 21, 2016 · Bundesliga1-3

Reigan HeskeyOff: Said El Mala

90'⇄Jan ThielmannOff: Linton Maina

90'⇄Joel SchmiedOff: Luka Lochoshvili

Statistics

62%Possession38%

1.29Expected goals0.66

14Total shots9

5Shots on target1

6Corners5

8Fouls12

4Offsides1

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

1Saves4

FC Schalke 04: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

1. FC Köln scored 1.8 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

FC Schalke 04 scored 1.5 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

1. FC Köln · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 9 times9/10

FC Schalke 04 · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

1. FC Köln: 10 games · FC Schalke 04: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.62.9

9/10Over 0.5league %929/10

9/10Over 1.5league %809/10

8/10Over 2.5league %727/10

5/10Over 3.5league %553/10

3/10Over 4.5league %361/10

8/10Both scoreleague %586/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

1. FC Köln: 10 games · FC Schalke 04: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)0.7

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.3Total goals per gameleague 3.61.8

9/10Over 0.5league %927/10

8/10Over 1.5league %805/10

7/10Over 2.5league %724/10

4/10Over 3.5league %552/10

4/10Over 4.5league %360/10

7/10Both scoreleague %583/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score6/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%29 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), 1. FC Köln win 518, 292 end level and FC Schalke 04 win 191. The actual result comes up 292 times in 1000.

%25 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.29 – 0.66 The score the chances deserved (xG): 1. FC Köln 1.29 – 0.66 FC Schalke 04.

8.0

Man of the match: L. Karius (FC Schalke 04), rated 8.0.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln · All games

FC Schalke 04 · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at 1. FC Köln's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match