Eintracht Frankfurt – 1. FC Köln: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Bundesliga · Germany · Matchday 6

Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga · #14

1-0Friday, October 16

1. FC KölnBundesliga · #12

Match events

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

24'Mario Götze
39'Lilian Brassier
45'Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
68'⇄Alessio Castro-MontesOff: Joel Schmied
68'⇄Mikey MooreOff: Linton Maina
68'⇄Paul Okon-EngstlerOff: Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson

Chances to win

Eintracht Frankfurt%51

Draw%23

1. FC Köln%26

At a glance

Over 1.5

%70Over 2.5

%69Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%70Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%69

Eintracht Frankfurt win%51

Not both score%31

Under 2.5%30

1. FC Köln win%26

Draw%23

Why?

Eintracht Frankfurt: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Eintracht FrankfurtL0-6D2-2W3-1L1-4D3-3

1. FC KölnW2-1L1-2D1-1L1-4W3-2

Last 6 meetings

1Eintracht Frankfurt won

3Draw

21. FC Köln won

3.3
Goals per game3/6
Over 2.54/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Eintracht Frankfurt · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

1. FC Köln · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Eintracht Frankfurt · last 10 at home5.9 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners5/10

1. FC Köln · last 10 away5.5 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners9/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

Kauã Santos, Elias Baum, T. Chandler, J. Maluze, N. Aséko Nkili, L. Arrhov, C. Uzun, A. Knauff, A. Amaimouni

1. FC Köln · 3-4-2-1

1M. Schwäbe

2J. Schmied

22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey

24L. Lochoshvili

3B. Sosa

5T. Krauß

8Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson

10S. El Mala

28S. Sebulonsen

37L. Maina

30M. Bülter

Bench

R. Zieler, G. Mensah, A. Kotya-Fofana, A. Castro-Montes, Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler, J. Thielmann, L. Waldschmidt, Reigan Heskey, M. Moore

1. FC Köln – Eintracht FrankfurtFebruary 12, 2023 · Bundesliga3-0

Eintracht Frankfurt – 1. FC KölnAugust 21, 2022 · Bundesliga1-1

Noel AsekoOff: Mario Götze

71'⇄Ansgar KnauffOff: Nnamdi Collins

77'⚽Younes EbnoutalibAssist: Noel Aseko

82'⇄Elias Niklas BaumOff: Jonathan Burkardt

84'⇄Reigan HeskeyOff: Said El Mala

84'⇄Luca WaldschmidtOff: Sebastian Soraas Sebulonsen

Statistics

56%Possession44%

1.38Expected goals0.67

15Total shots9

7Shots on target3

7Corners3

8Fouls17

1Offsides0

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves6

1. FC Köln: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Eintracht Frankfurt scored 1.6 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

1. FC Köln scored 1.2 and conceded 2.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Eintracht Frankfurt · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

1. FC Köln · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Eintracht Frankfurt: 10 games · 1. FC Köln: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.5Goals conceded (avg)2.1

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.63.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

8/10Over 1.5league %809/10

7/10Over 2.5league %726/10

5/10Over 3.5league %554/10

1/10Over 4.5league %362/10

6/10Both scoreleague %588/10

4/10Clean sheets0/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

Eintracht Frankfurt: 10 games · 1. FC Köln: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.6Goals scored (avg)1.6

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.7

4.6Total goals per gameleague 3.63.3

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

8/10Over 1.5league %808/10

8/10Over 2.5league %727/10

8/10Over 3.5league %554/10

4/10Over 4.5league %364/10

6/10Both scoreleague %587/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%54 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Eintracht Frankfurt win 540, 278 end level and 1. FC Köln win 181. The actual result comes up 540 times in 1000.

1.38 – 0.67 The score the chances deserved (xG): Eintracht Frankfurt 1.38 – 0.67 1. FC Köln.

8.0

Man of the match: R. Koch (Eintracht Frankfurt), rated 8.0.

%51 Our model's pre-match chance of a Eintracht Frankfurt win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt · All games

1. FC Köln · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Eintracht Frankfurt's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match