RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Bundesliga · Germany · Matchday 5

RB LeipzigBundesliga · #6

6-0Saturday, October 10

Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga · #14

Match events

RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt

1'⚽Ezechiel BanzuziAssist: Neil El Aynaoui
5'⚽Christopher NkunkuAssist: Antonio Nusa
27'Neil El Aynaoui
41'⚽Christopher Nkunku
44'⚽Christopher Nkunku
45'⇄Elias Niklas BaumOff: Robin Koch
45'

Chances to win

RB Leipzig%59

Draw%20

Eintracht Frankfurt%21

At a glance

Over 1.5

%73Over 2.5

%69Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%73Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%69

RB Leipzig win%59

Not both score%31

Under 2.5%27

Eintracht Frankfurt win%21

Draw%20

Why?

RB Leipzig: 3+ goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

RB LeipzigL0-2W5-0L1-4L1-3W3-0

Eintracht FrankfurtD2-2W3-1L1-4D3-3W11-0

Last 10 meetings

6RB Leipzig won

1Draw

3Eintracht Frankfurt won

3.4
Goals per game8/10
Over 2.54/10
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

RB Leipzig · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Eintracht Frankfurt · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

RB Leipzig · last 10 at home6.2 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Eintracht Frankfurt · last 9 away3.9 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners2/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards5/9

Bench

Ø. Nyland, M. Estève, L. Klostermann, Max Finkgräfe, B. Henrichs, N. Seiwald, R. Reitz, B. Gruda, T. Gomis

Eintracht Frankfurt · 4-4-2

1N. Atubolu

3L. Brassier

4R. Koch

26K. Kosugi

34N. Collins

15N. Aséko Nkili

20R. Dōan

25R. Onyedika

42C. Uzun

7A. Knauff

9J. Burkardt

Bench

Kauã Santos, Elias Baum, Otávio, T. Chandler, O. HÃ¸jlund, F. Chaïbi, M. Götze, L. Arrhov, Y. Ebnoutalib

December 15, 2024 · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig – Eintracht FrankfurtDecember 4, 2024 · DFB Pokal3-0

Eintracht Frankfurt – RB LeipzigMay 18, 2024 · Bundesliga2-2

RB Leipzig – Eintracht FrankfurtJanuary 13, 2024 · Bundesliga0-1

RB Leipzig – Eintracht FrankfurtJune 3, 2023 · DFB Pokal2-0

RB Leipzig – Eintracht FrankfurtFebruary 25, 2023 · Bundesliga2-1

Eintracht Frankfurt – RB LeipzigSeptember 3, 2022 · Bundesliga4-0

Younes EbnoutalibOff: Keita Kosugi

54'⚽Antonio NusaAssist: Ezechiel Banzuzi

58'⇄Nicolas SeiwaldOff: Neil El Aynaoui

58'⇄Benjamin HenrichsOff: Ridle Baku

62'Elias Niklas Baum

64'⇄Tidiam GomisOff: Christopher Nkunku

64'⇄Max FinkgräfeOff: Antonio Nusa

73'⇄Love ArrhovOff: Ritsu Doan

73'⇄Rocco ReitzOff: Ezechiel Banzuzi

73'⇄Fares ChaibiOff: Noel Aseko

84'Raphael Onyedika Nwadike

89'⚽Tidiam GomisAssist: Benjamin Henrichs

Statistics

46%Possession54%

3.36Expected goals1.5

20Total shots18

10Shots on target9

3Corners6

16Fouls13

1Offsides2

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

9Saves4

Eintracht Frankfurt: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

RB Leipzig scored 2.6 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Eintracht Frankfurt scored 2.6 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

RB Leipzig · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 9 times9/10

Eintracht Frankfurt · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

RB Leipzig: 10 games · Eintracht Frankfurt: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.2Goals scored (avg)2.6

0.3Goals conceded (avg)1.9

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.64.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

8/10Over 1.5league %809/10

8/10Over 2.5league %728/10

5/10Over 3.5league %556/10

3/10Over 4.5league %364/10

3/10Both scoreleague %587/10

7/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

RB Leipzig: 10 games · Eintracht Frankfurt: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)2.6

2.0Goals conceded (avg)2.0

4.2Total goals per gameleague 3.64.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

9/10Over 1.5league %808/10

8/10Over 2.5league %728/10

7/10Over 3.5league %558/10

5/10Over 4.5league %364/10

5/10Both scoreleague %586/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

3.36 – 1.50 The score the chances deserved (xG): RB Leipzig 3.36 – 1.50 Eintracht Frankfurt.

%73 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), RB Leipzig win 730, 134 end level and Eintracht Frankfurt win 135. The actual result comes up 730 times in 1000.

9.9

Man of the match: C. Nkunku (RB Leipzig), rated 9.9.

%59 Our model's pre-match chance of a RB Leipzig win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 10 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

RB Leipzig · Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig · All games

Eintracht Frankfurt · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at RB Leipzig's ground

Last 10 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match