Castellón – Sporting Gijon: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda División · Spain · Matchday 11

CastellónSegunda · #1

4-0Sunday, October 25

Sporting GijonSegunda · #8

Match events

CastellónSporting Gijon

3'⚽Adam JakobsenAssist: Matías Orozco
7'Hugo Guillamón
26'⚽Israel Suero FernándezAssist: Matías Orozco
35'Matías Orozco
52'⚽Adam JakobsenAssist: Matías Orozco
58'⇄Alejo SarcoOff: Juan Otero

Chances to win

Castellón%63

Draw%22

Sporting Gijon%16

At a glance

Over 1.5

%57Over 2.5

%53Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Castellón win.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%57

Both score%53

Not both score%47

Under 2.5%43

Draw%22

Sporting Gijon win%16

Why?

Castellón won 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CastellónW3-0L0-1D1-1W2-0W5-0

Sporting GijonW2-1W1-0W3-2L0-2W3-1

Last 6 meetings

3Castellón won

0Draw

3Sporting Gijon won

3.7
Goals per game4/6
Over 2.54/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Castellón · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Sporting Gijon · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Castellón · last 10 at home6.2 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Sporting Gijon · last 10 away3.7 corners, 3.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards10/10

Bench

Arana, Diego Sánchez, Pablo Vázquez, Aimar Duñabeitia, Iker Martínez, Nacho Martín, M. Loum, C. Ferreres, B. Rubio, A. Sarco, Enol Prendes

Castellón – Sporting GijonJanuary 24, 2021 · Segunda División2-0

Sporting Gijon – CastellónNovember 2, 2020 · Segunda División1-0

Enol Prendes OrtizOff: Gaspar Campos

66'⇄Lucas AlcázarOff: Íñigo Córdoba

67'⇄Jari VlakOff: Matías Orozco

69'⇄Mamadou LoumOff: Hugo Guillamón

74'⇄antonio galaOff: Israel Suero Fernández

74'⇄Ilias KostisOff: Alberto Jiménez

78'⇄Diego SánchezOff: Andres Cuenca

78'⇄Diego Matabuena ÁlvarezOff: Pablo García

79'VARantonio galaPenalty cancelled

82'⇄Álvaro García AranaOff: Adam Jakobsen

87'⚽Álvaro García AranaAssist: Alvaro Martin

Statistics

47%Possession53%

1.88Expected goals0.63

14Total shots8

6Shots on target3

2Corners3

11Fouls11

1Offsides5

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves2

Castellón scored 1.9 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sporting Gijon scored 1.4 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Castellón · last 10 at home: 5 wins5/10

Sporting Gijon · last 10 away: 5 defeats5/10

Castellón: 10 games · Sporting Gijon: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.6

0.7Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.73.1

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

9/10Over 1.5league %748/10

5/10Over 2.5league %507/10

3/10Over 3.5league %325/10

1/10Over 4.5league %161/10

6/10Both scoreleague %526/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Castellón: 10 games · Sporting Gijon: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)1.3

0.4Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.72.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

9/10Over 1.5league %747/10

6/10Over 2.5league %505/10

2/10Over 3.5league %324/10

1/10Over 4.5league %161/10

3/10Both scoreleague %524/10

6/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.88 – 0.63 The score the chances deserved (xG): Castellón 1.88 – 0.63 Sporting Gijon.

%67 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Castellón win 673, 210 end level and Sporting Gijon win 117. The actual result comes up 673 times in 1000.

9.3

Man of the match: M. Orozco (Castellón), rated 9.3.

%63 Our model's pre-match chance of a Castellón win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Castellón · Segunda División

Sporting Gijon · Segunda División

Castellón · All games

Sporting Gijon · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Castellón's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match