FC Andorra – Castellón: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda División · Spain · Matchday 9

FC AndorraSegunda · #19

1-0Sunday, October 11

CastellónSegunda · #1

Match events

FC AndorraCastellón

12'Carles Manso Rubio
13'⚽Moró SidibeAssist: Jordi Cano
31'Efe Akman
38'Marc Doménech Costa
45'⇄Alvaro MartinOff: Raúl Sánchez
45'⇄Íñigo CórdobaOff: Lucas Alcázar
65'

Chances to win

FC Andorra%35

Draw%25

Castellón%40

At a glance

Over 1.5

%61Over 2.5

%63Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%61Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%63

Castellón win%40

Under 2.5%39

Not both score%37

FC Andorra win%35

Draw%25

Why?

FC Andorra: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

FC AndorraD0-0W3-2L1-3L1-3L0-1

CastellónD1-1W2-0W5-0W2-1W2-0

Last 2 meetings

0FC Andorra won

0Draw

2Castellón won

3.0
Goals per game1/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

FC Andorra · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Castellón · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

FC Andorra · last 10 at home5.7 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Castellón · last 10 away6.5 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners7/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

A. Saipi, F. Ceccherini, I. Kostis, Martín Conde, M. Willmann, Iñigo Córdoba, Álvaro Martín, A. Gala, Hamza Bellari, Varo García, D. Muale Nzanza, Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo

Álvaro García AranaOff: Pablo Santiago

65'⇄rodrigo regoOff: Diego Barri

65'⇄Randy SchneiderOff: Efe Akman

67'Lautaro Marco Spatz

72'⇄Julian RijkhoffOff: Diego Díaz

72'⇄Lautaro De LeónOff: Jordi Cano

78'VARJulian RijkhoffPenalty cancelled

80'⇄antonio galaOff: Matías Orozco

80'⇄Juan Sebastián SerranoOff: Lautaro Marco Spatz

80'⇄Nacho QuintanaOff: Moró Sidibe

90+1'Alberto Jiménez

90+2'Pablo Hernández Domínguez

90+3'Julian Rijkhoff

Statistics

43%Possession57%

2.28Expected goals0.66

15Total shots11

7Shots on target3

4Corners7

23Fouls5

5Offsides5

4Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves6

Castellón: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

FC Andorra scored 2.2 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Castellón scored 1.7 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

FC Andorra · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Castellón · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

FC Andorra: 10 games · Castellón: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.5Goals conceded (avg)0.7

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.72.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

6/10Over 1.5league %747/10

5/10Over 2.5league %505/10

5/10Over 3.5league %321/10

3/10Over 4.5league %171/10

5/10Both scoreleague %514/10

2/10Clean sheets5/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

FC Andorra: 10 games · Castellón: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)2.4

1.5Goals conceded (avg)0.4

2.6Total goals per gameleague 2.72.8

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

6/10Over 1.5league %749/10

5/10Over 2.5league %506/10

4/10Over 3.5league %322/10

2/10Over 4.5league %171/10

4/10Both scoreleague %513/10

3/10Clean sheets6/10

4/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Castellón: a 8-match unbeaten run ended here.

%35 Our model's pre-match chance of a FC Andorra win.

%74 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), FC Andorra win 741, 168 end level and Castellón win 91. The actual result comes up 741 times in 1000.

2.28 – 0.66 The score the chances deserved (xG): FC Andorra 2.28 – 0.66 Castellón.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

FC Andorra · Segunda División

Castellón · Segunda División

FC Andorra · All games

Castellón · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match