Corvinul Hunedoara – Universitatea Cluj: probabilities, statistics and live score

Corvinul HunedoaraLiga I · #8

0-3Friday, October 23

Universitatea ClujLiga I · #5

Match events

Corvinul HunedoaraUniversitatea Cluj

4'⚽Jovo LukićAssist: Ovidiu Bic
6'Iulian Cristea
27'Oucasse Mendy
45'⇄Gideon Uche GoodladOff: Roger Rodrigues
45'⇄Sérgio RibeiroOff: Constantin Dragos Albu
45'⇄Jug StanojevOff: Oucasse Mendy

Chances to win

Corvinul Hunedoara%37

Draw%28

Universitatea Cluj%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Corvinul HunedoaraL0-2W3-2W3-2L0-1L0-2

Universitatea ClujD2-2L3-4W3-1W2-0W

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Corvinul Hunedoara · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Universitatea Cluj · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Corvinul Hunedoara · last 6 at home4.5 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/6Over 4.5 corners2/6Over 5.5 corners2/6Over 0.5 cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%52

Under 2.5%48

Not both score%43

Corvinul Hunedoara win%37

Universitatea Cluj win%36

Draw%28

Why?

Corvinul Hunedoara: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 home matches.
Universitatea Cluj: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 away matches.
Corvinul Hunedoara scored 1.6 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Universitatea Cluj scored 0.8 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Corvinul Hunedoara: 10 games · Universitatea Cluj: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.3

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.73.0

9/10Over 0.5league %949/10

8/10Over 1.5league %738/10

4/10Over 2.5league %497/10

1/10Over 3.5league %365/10

1/10Over 4.5league %151/10

4/10Both scoreleague %484/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

Corvinul Hunedoara: 10 games · Universitatea Cluj: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)2.2

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.73.7

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

7/10Over 1.5league %739/10

3/10Over 2.5league %498/10

2/10Over 3.5league %366/10

2/10Over 4.5league %152/10

3/10Both scoreleague %485/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

5/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.10 – 0.99 The score the chances deserved (xG): Corvinul Hunedoara 1.10 – 0.99 Universitatea Cluj.

%32 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Corvinul Hunedoara win 378, 300 end level and Universitatea Cluj win 322. The actual result comes up 322 times in 1000.

10 – 3 Corners: Corvinul Hunedoara 10 – 3 Universitatea Cluj.

69 – 31 Possession (%): Corvinul Hunedoara 69 – 31 Universitatea Cluj.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Corvinul Hunedoara · Liga I

Universitatea Cluj · Liga I

Corvinul Hunedoara · All games

Universitatea Cluj · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match