Corvinul Hunedoara – FC Voluntari: probabilities, statistics and live score

Corvinul HunedoaraLiga I · #8

3-2Friday, October 9

FC VoluntariLiga I · #15

Match events

Corvinul HunedoaraFC Voluntari

5'Metod Jurhar
6'⚽Sérgio RibeiroPenalty
26'⚽Lovro CvekAssist: Ion Gheorghe
28'⚽Emmanuel YeboahAssist: alexandru neacsa
30'Merloi George Cristian
45'⇄Matko BabićOff: Merloi George Cristian

Chances to win

Corvinul Hunedoara%57

Draw%24

FC Voluntari%19

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Corvinul HunedoaraW3-2L0-1L0-2W1-0D1-1

FC VoluntariL0-2L1-2W1-0W1-0D

Last 3 meetings

1Corvinul Hunedoara won

1Draw

1FC Voluntari won

1.0
Goals per game0/3
Over 2.50/3
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Corvinul Hunedoara · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

FC Voluntari · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Corvinul Hunedoara · last 5 at home4.6 corners, 1.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/5Over 4.5 corners2/5Over 5.5 corners2/5Over 0.5 cards3/5Over 1.5 cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Corvinul Hunedoara win.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%56

Both score%54

Not both score%46

Under 2.5%44

Draw%24

FC Voluntari win%19

Why?

Corvinul Hunedoara · last 10 at home: 5 wins5/10

FC Voluntari · last 10 away: 6 defeats6/10

Corvinul Hunedoara won 5 of their last 10 home matches.
Corvinul Hunedoara scored 1.4 and conceded 0.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.
FC Voluntari scored 1.2 and conceded 2.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Corvinul Hunedoara: 10 games · FC Voluntari: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.3

0.9Goals conceded (avg)2.4

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.73.7

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %738/10

4/10Over 2.5league %498/10

1/10Over 3.5league %366/10

1/10Over 4.5league %154/10

4/10Both scoreleague %486/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Corvinul Hunedoara: 10 games · FC Voluntari: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.72.8

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

7/10Over 1.5league %738/10

3/10Over 2.5league %496/10

2/10Over 3.5league %363/10

2/10Over 4.5league %151/10

3/10Both scoreleague %487/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

5/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%62 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Corvinul Hunedoara win 619, 173 end level and FC Voluntari win 208. The actual result comes up 619 times in 1000.

2.73 – 1.58 The score the chances deserved (xG): Corvinul Hunedoara 2.73 – 1.58 FC Voluntari.

8.5

Man of the match: I. Gheorghe (FC Voluntari), rated 8.5.

%57 Our model's pre-match chance of a Corvinul Hunedoara win.

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 3 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Corvinul Hunedoara's ground

Last 3 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Corvinul Hunedoara · Liga I

FC Voluntari · Liga I

Corvinul Hunedoara · All games

FC Voluntari · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match