Grimsby – York: probabilities, statistics and live score

GrimsbyLeague Two · #6

5-2Saturday, October 31

YorkLeague Two · #7

Match events

GrimsbyYork

13'⚽Andy CookAssist: Cameron McJannett
18'⚽Alex Hunt
28'⚽Jack Hunt
31'⚽Iwan Morgan
55'⇄jovan malcolmOff: J. Stones
55'⇄Frankie MaguireOff: Joey Grey
67'⇄

Chances to win

Grimsby%41

Draw%25

York%33

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%62Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

GrimsbyW4-1D2-2L0-2L0-1D0-0

YorkL1-3W2-0D1-1D1-1D

Last 4 meetings

0Grimsby won

0Draw

4York won

3.0
Goals per game3/4
Over 2.53/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Grimsby · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

York · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Grimsby · last 10 at home7.8 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners8/10Over 0.5 cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%62

Grimsby win%41

Under 2.5%40

Not both score%38

York win%33

Draw%25

Why?

Grimsby · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Grimsby: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.
York: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 10 away matches.
Grimsby scored 1.4 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.
York scored 1.0 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Grimsby: 10 games · York: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.72.8

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

8/10Over 1.5league %778/10

5/10Over 2.5league %473/10

3/10Over 3.5league %313/10

1/10Over 4.5league %142/10

5/10Both scoreleague %587/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

Grimsby: 10 games · York: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.73.0

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

8/10Over 1.5league %7710/10

6/10Over 2.5league %474/10

3/10Over 3.5league %313/10

2/10Over 4.5league %141/10

6/10Both scoreleague %587/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

31 – 69 Possession (%): Grimsby 31 – 69 York.

%88 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Grimsby win 876, 94 end level and York win 30. The actual result comes up 876 times in 1000.

2.88 – 0.39 The score the chances deserved (xG): Grimsby 2.88 – 0.39 York.

24 – 10 Shots: Grimsby 24 – 10 York.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Grimsby's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Grimsby · League Two

York · League Two

Grimsby · All games

York · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match