West Ham – West Brom: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Championship · England · Matchday 13

West Ham

1-3Saturday, October 31

West Brom

Match events

West HamWest Brom

17'Maximilian Kilman
20'⚽Felix Horn MyhreAssist: J. Morgan
29'⚽Jarrod BowenAssist: Mohamadou Kante
48'⚽J. MorganAssist: Felix Horn Myhre
60'⇄Joel PiroeOff: Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus
60'⇄Manor SolomonOff: Divine Mukasa

Chances to win

West Ham%57

Draw%23

West Brom%20

At a glance

Over 1.5

%58Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

West Ham win%57

Both score%56

Not both score%44

Under 2.5%42

Draw%23

West Brom win%20

Why?

West Ham: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

West HamL2-3W1-0W6-0D1-1D2-2

West BromD1-1W3-2W2-1L0-1L0-1

Last 15 meetings

6West Ham won

5Draw

4West Brom won

3.1
Goals per game10/15
Over 2.510/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

West Ham · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

West Brom · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

West Ham · last 10 at home5.7 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

West Brom · last 10 away4.6 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

A. Areola, J. Veltman, Ezra Mayers, S. Magassa, T. Souček, L. Orford, J. Piroe, M. Solomon, V. Castellanos

West Brom · 4-4-2

1M. O’Leary

2C. Mepham

4C. Styles

6G. Campbell

18B. Pereira

8J. Molumby

17O. Diakité

20R. Nzingoula

21I. Price

7F. Myhre

11J. Morgan

Bench

M. Ingram, N. Phillips, C. Townsend, Harry Whitwell, M. Crowther, B. Stewart, A. Heggebø, T. Bany, K. Tunde

West Brom – West HamSeptember 16, 2017 · Premier League0-0

West Ham – West BromFebruary 11, 2017 · Premier League2-2

West Brom – West HamSeptember 17, 2016 · Premier League4-2

West Brom – West HamApril 30, 2016 · Premier League0-3

West Ham – West BromNovember 29, 2015 · Premier League1-1

West Brom – West HamFebruary 14, 2015 · FA Cup4-0

West Ham – West BromJanuary 1, 2015 · Premier League1-1

West Brom – West HamDecember 2, 2014 · Premier League1-2

West Brom – West HamApril 26, 2014 · Premier League1-0

West Ham – West BromDecember 28, 2013 · Premier League3-3

West Ham – West BromMarch 30, 2013 · Premier League3-1

71'⇄Tomáš SoučekOff: Mohamadou Kante

71'⇄Joël VeltmanOff: Kyle Walker-Peters

71'⇄Taty CastellanosOff: Airidas Golambeckis

76'⇄Kareem TundeOff: Rabby Nzingoula

77'⇄Aune HeggeboOff: J. Morgan

84'⇄Tammer Bany OdehOff: Felix Horn Myhre

Statistics

55%Possession45%

1.06Expected goals2.07

14Total shots12

5Shots on target3

8Corners6

13Fouls9

1Offsides2

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

0Saves4

West Brom: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

West Ham scored 2.5 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

West Brom scored 1.6 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

West Ham · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

West Brom · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

West Ham: 10 games · West Brom: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.5Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.8Total goals per gameleague 2.92.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

9/10Over 1.5league %768/10

8/10Over 2.5league %606/10

5/10Over 3.5league %373/10

4/10Over 4.5league %142/10

6/10Both scoreleague %637/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

West Ham: 10 games · West Brom: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.0Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.1

4.3Total goals per gameleague 2.92.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

9/10Over 1.5league %766/10

8/10Over 2.5league %603/10

7/10Over 3.5league %372/10

6/10Over 4.5league %141/10

6/10Both scoreleague %636/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%20 Our model's pre-match chance of an West Brom win.

%61 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), West Ham win 187, 207 end level and West Brom win 606. The actual result comes up 606 times in 1000.

1.06 – 2.07 The score the chances deserved (xG): West Ham 1.06 – 2.07 West Brom.

9.0

Man of the match: J. Morgan (West Brom), rated 9.0.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

West Ham · Championship

West Brom · Championship

West Ham · All games

West Brom · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at West Ham's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match