QPR – Swansea: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Championship · England · Matchday 12

QPR

5-0Saturday, October 24

Swansea

Match events

QPRSwansea

2'⚽Richard KoneAssist: Paul Smyth
9'⚽Richard KoneAssist: Kwame Poku
14'Lawrence Vigouroux
15'⚽Richard KonePenalty
16'Richard Kone
34'Elijah Just
45'

Chances to win

QPR%38

Draw%28

Swansea%33

At a glance

Over 1.5

%49Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%51

Over 2.5%49

Not both score%46

QPR win%38

Swansea win%33

Draw%28

Why?

QPR: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

QPRL0-3W4-1D1-1D2-2D1-1

SwanseaL0-1W1-0W2-1W2-1W3-1

Last 15 meetings

5QPR won

4Draw

6Swansea won

2.0
Goals per game5/15
Over 2.56/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

QPR · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Swansea · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

QPR · last 10 at home6.0 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Swansea · last 10 away3.2 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

C. Ward, L. Morrison, D. Cirkin, K. Dembélé, I. Alemayehu, K. Saito, Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu, Rayan Jawad Kolli

Swansea · 4-3-3

22L. Vigouroux

5B. Cabango

14J. Tymon

23S. Welsh

26F. Lissah

6M. Stamenić

8E. Just

46S. Eustáquio

7M. Widell

30Joseph Okopu

33A. Idah

Bench

A. Fisher, J. Seelt, Tiago Parente, J. Fulton, Gonçalo Franco, Z. Vipotnik, Eom Ji-Sung, J. Monga, R. Stewart

Swansea – QPRApril 1, 2024 · Championship

QPR – SwanseaSeptember 19, 2023 · Championship1-1

QPR – SwanseaJanuary 21, 2023 · Championship1-1

Swansea – QPRSeptember 3, 2022 · Championship1-0

Swansea – QPRMay 7, 2022 · Championship0-1

QPR – SwanseaJanuary 25, 2022 · Championship0-0

Swansea – QPRApril 20, 2021 · Championship0-1

QPR – SwanseaDecember 26, 2020 · Championship0-2

Swansea – QPRFebruary 11, 2020 · Championship0-0

QPR – SwanseaJanuary 5, 2020 · FA Cup5-1

QPR – SwanseaAugust 21, 2019 · Championship1-3

Jenson SeeltOff: Stephen Welsh

45'⇄Jay FultonOff: Elijah Just

45+1'⚽Jimmy DunneAssist: Harvey Vale

64'⇄Goncalo FrancoOff: Marko Stamenić

64'⇄Eom Ji-SungOff: Joseph Amankwaah Opoku

72'⇄Rayan Jawad KolliOff: Paul Smyth

72'⇄Karamoko DembéléOff: Kwame Poku

72'⇄Koki SaitoOff: Harvey Vale

74'⇄Zan VipotnikOff: Adam Idah

80'⇄Dennis CirkinOff: Boy Kemper

86'⚽Jimmy DunneAssist: Richard Kone

87'⇄Isak Alemayehu MulugetaOff: Richard Kone

Statistics

40%Possession60%

3.3Expected goals0.27

12Total shots8

5Shots on target3

6Corners8

7Fouls16

5Offsides2

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

3Saves0

Swansea: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

QPR scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Swansea scored 1.6 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

QPR · last 10 at home: both scored 7 times7/10

Swansea · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

QPR: 10 games · Swansea: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.93.1

8/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

7/10Over 1.5league %768/10

6/10Over 2.5league %607/10

4/10Over 3.5league %373/10

3/10Over 4.5league %142/10

6/10Both scoreleague %636/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

QPR: 10 games · Swansea: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.92.6

9/10Over 0.5league %949/10

8/10Over 1.5league %767/10

6/10Over 2.5league %606/10

3/10Over 3.5league %373/10

2/10Over 4.5league %141/10

6/10Both scoreleague %634/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

3.30 – 0.26 The score the chances deserved (xG): QPR 3.30 – 0.26 Swansea.

%93 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), QPR win 928, 59 end level and Swansea win 13. The actual result comes up 928 times in 1000.

9.4

Man of the match: R. Kone (QPR), rated 9.4.

%38 Our model's pre-match chance of a QPR win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

QPR · Championship

Swansea · Championship

QPR · All games

Swansea · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at QPR's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match