The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%58
Vissel Kobe win%48
Under 2.5%45
Not both score%42
Nagoya Grampus win%26
Draw%26
Why?
Vissel Kobe: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Vissel KobeW1-0D0-0L1-2W3-0W2-0
Nagoya GrampusD1-1D1-1D1-1W3-1D3-3
Last 15 meetings
6Vissel Kobe won
5Draw
4Nagoya Grampus won
2.7 Goals per game8/15 Over 2.57/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Vissel Kobe · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Nagoya Grampus · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Vissel Kobe · last 8 at home4.9 corners, 0.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners3/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards
Referee
Koji Takasaki3.6 cards a match in 18 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Vissel Kobe · J1 League
6W 1D 3LScored 15 · conceded 92.5 Üst 5/10KG 4/10
Nagoya Grampus · J1 League
4W 2D 4LScored 13 · conceded 152.5 Üst 6/10KG 7/10
Vissel Kobe · All games
7W 1D 2LScored 15 · conceded 82.5 Üst 5/10KG 4/10
Nagoya Grampus · All games
3W 4D 3LScored 15 · conceded 152.5 Üst 5/10KG 8/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Vissel Kobe · 4-3-3
71S. Gonda
3Matheus Thuler
4T. Yamakawa
24G. Sakai
41K. Nagato
5Y. Goke
7Y. Ideguchi
23Yuan Iwamoto
10Y. Osako
11Y. Muto
94Erik
Bench
D. Maekawa, N. Iino, Diego, Caetano, Y. Kuwasaki, D. Sasaki, Jean Patrick, R. Komatsu, H. Kawabata
Nagoya Grampus · 3-4-2-1
1D. Schmidt
3Y. Sato
This fixture at Vissel Kobe's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 7
3Vissel Kobe won
2Draw
2Nagoya Grampus won
Vissel Kobe last won here on Apr 11, 2026: Vissel Kobe 3-2 Nagoya Grampus.Nagoya Grampus last won here on Mar 8, 2023: Vissel Kobe 0-2 Nagoya Grampus.2.9 goals a game here · over 2.5 4/7 · BTTS 4/7
Last 15 meetings
6Vissel Kobe won
5Draw
4Nagoya Grampus won
2.7 Goals per game8/15 Over 2.57/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Vissel Kobe – Nagoya GrampusApril 11, 2026 · J1 League3-2
Nagoya Grampus – Vissel KobeMarch 14, 2026 · J1 League0-3
Vissel Kobe – Nagoya GrampusJune 15, 2025 · J1 League2-1
Nagoya Grampus – Vissel KobeFebruary 22, 2025 · J1 League
4/8
Over 1.5 cards1/8
Nagoya Grampus · last 9 away3.4 corners, 1.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners2/9Over 5.5 corners2/9Over 0.5 cards6/9Over 1.5 cards3/9
Vissel Kobe · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10
Nagoya Grampus · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10
Vissel Kobe: 10 games · Nagoya Grampus: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.9Goals scored (avg)1.2
0.5Goals conceded (avg)2.1
2.4Total goals per gameleague 3.03.3
9/10Over 0.5league %949/10
6/10Over 1.5league %808/10
5/10Over 2.5league %577/10
3/10Over 3.5league %364/10
1/10Over 4.5league %182/10
4/10Both scoreleague %576/10
6/10Clean sheets1/10
1/10Failed to score4/10
Vissel Kobe: 10 games · Nagoya Grampus: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.5Goals scored (avg)1.5
0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.5
2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.03.0
9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10
6/10Over 1.5league %809/10
5/10Over 2.5league %575/10
1/10Over 3.5league %364/10
1/10Over 4.5league %181/10
4/10Both scoreleague %578/10
6/10Clean sheets0/10
1/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
7 Nagoya Grampus: a 7-match unbeaten run ended here.
%43 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Vissel Kobe win 430, 270 end level and Nagoya Grampus win 300. The actual result comes up 430 times in 1000.
1.36 – 1.09 The score the chances deserved (xG): Vissel Kobe 1.36 – 1.09 Nagoya Grampus.
9.0 Man of the match: Y. Muto (Vissel Kobe), rated 9.0.