The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.
%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%54
Over 2.5%48
Not both score%46
Kyoto Sanga win%40
Shimizu S-pulse win%32
Draw%28
Why?
Kyoto Sanga: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Kyoto SangaW5-2D2-2D2-2L0-3W1-0
Shimizu S-pulseL0-4L0-5D2-2L1-2W2-1
Last 10 meetings
4Kyoto Sanga won
2Draw
4Shimizu S-pulse won
2.3 Goals per game5/10 Over 2.56/10 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Kyoto Sanga · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Shimizu S-pulse · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Kyoto Sanga · last 8 at home4.4 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners3/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards
Referee
Akihiko Ikeuchi2.4 cards a match in 32 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Kyoto Sanga · J1 League
2W 3D 5LScored 12 · conceded 192.5 Üst 7/10KG 7/10
Shimizu S-pulse · J1 League
3W 2D 5LScored 9 · conceded 192.5 Üst 6/10KG 5/10
Kyoto Sanga · All games
4W 3D 3LScored 13 · conceded 122.5 Üst 5/10KG 4/10
Shimizu S-pulse · All games
4W 2D 4LScored 12 · conceded 192.5 Üst 7/10KG 6/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Kyoto Sanga · 3-4-2-1
90Halls
5H. Tawiah
15K. Nagata
50Y. Suzuki
6João Pedro
10S. Fukuoka
11Marco Túlio
17Alex Negueba
25Yoon Sung-Jun
77H. Arai
9Rafael Elias
Bench
G. Ota, Y. Ishida, T. Shichi, M. Okugawa, H. Morooka, R. Nakano, R. Yamanaka, T. Kato, S. Nagasawa
Shimizu S-pulse · 4-3-3
1Y. Oki
3Y. Takahashi
This fixture at Kyoto Sanga's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 5
2Kyoto Sanga won
1Draw
2Shimizu S-pulse won
Kyoto Sanga last won here on Jul 10, 2024: Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Shimizu S-pulse.Shimizu S-pulse last won here on May 2, 2026: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shimizu S-pulse.2.2 goals a game here · over 2.5 3/5 · BTTS 3/5
Kyoto Sanga: 10 games · Shimizu S-pulse: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.7Goals scored (avg)0.9
1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.7
3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.02.6
10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10
6/10Over 1.5league %808/10
6/10Over 2.5league %576/10
5/10Over 3.5league %362/10
3/10Over 4.5league %180/10
6/10Both scoreleague %574/10
3/10Clean sheets2/10
1/10Failed to score4/10
Kyoto Sanga: 10 games · Shimizu S-pulse: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.3Goals scored (avg)1.2
1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.9
2.5Total goals per gameleague 3.03.1
9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10
5/10Over 1.5league %809/10
5/10Over 2.5league %577/10
3/10Over 3.5league %364/10
1/10Over 4.5league %181/10
4/10Both scoreleague %576/10
3/10Clean sheets2/10
4/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%53 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Kyoto Sanga win 528, 301 end level and Shimizu S-pulse win 171. The actual result comes up 528 times in 1000.
1.24 – 0.57 The score the chances deserved (xG): Kyoto Sanga 1.24 – 0.57 Shimizu S-pulse.