By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Avispa Fukuoka · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Gamba Osaka · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Avispa Fukuoka · last 8 at home3.6 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners3/8Over 5.5 corners1/8Over 0.5 cards
Referee
Masuya Ueda3.1 cards a match in 25 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.Go Premium
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Avispa Fukuoka · 3-4-2-1
24Y. Obata
5T. Kamijima
15Y. Tsujioka
16T. Oka
2M. Yuzawa
6M. Shigemi
11T. Miki
25Y. Kitajima
29Y. Maejima
55K. Maeda
13S. Morooka
Bench
T. Nagaishi, K. Yamawaki, M. Tashiro, D. Miya, Y. Hashimoto, S. Nago, K. Shiihashi, Shohei Takemoto, Werik Popó
Gamba Osaka · 4-2-3-1
22J. Ichimori
2S. Fukuoka
This fixture at Avispa Fukuoka's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 7
2Avispa Fukuoka won
1Draw
4Gamba Osaka won
Avispa Fukuoka last won here on Nov 30, 2025: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Gamba Osaka.Gamba Osaka last won here on Jun 3, 2023: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Gamba Osaka.1.7 goals a game here · over 2.5 2/7 · BTTS 2/7
The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.
%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed
Other scenarios
Both score%54
Over 2.5%48
Not both score%46
Avispa Fukuoka win%37
Gamba Osaka win%35
Draw%28
Why?
Avispa Fukuoka · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10
Avispa Fukuoka: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Gamba Osaka: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.
Avispa Fukuoka scored 1.0 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Gamba Osaka scored 1.6 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.
Avispa Fukuoka: 10 games · Gamba Osaka: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.1Goals scored (avg)1.4
1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.7
2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.03.1
9/10Over 0.5league %949/10
6/10Over 1.5league %819/10
5/10Over 2.5league %596/10
2/10Over 3.5league %375/10
1/10Over 4.5league %181/10
5/10Both scoreleague %567/10
2/10Clean sheets1/10
4/10Failed to score3/10
Avispa Fukuoka: 10 games · Gamba Osaka: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
0.7Goals scored (avg)2.2
1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.4
2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.03.6
10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10
7/10Over 1.5league %819/10
5/10Over 2.5league %597/10
1/10Over 3.5league %376/10
0/10Over 4.5league %183/10
6/10Both scoreleague %567/10
0/10Clean sheets1/10
4/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
9 Gamba Osaka: a 9-match wait for a win is over.
%26 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Avispa Fukuoka win 351, 390 end level and Gamba Osaka win 259. The actual result comes up 259 times in 1000.
15 – 7 Shots: Avispa Fukuoka 15 – 7 Gamba Osaka.
%35 Our model's pre-match chance of an Gamba Osaka win.
Avispa FukuokaJ-League · #19
Gamba OsakaJ-League · #16