Kashima – Gamba Osaka: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·J1 League · Japan · Matchday 9

KashimaJ-League · #6

2-0Friday, October 9

Gamba OsakaJ-League · #16

Match events

KashimaGamba Osaka

37'VARRin MitoGoal cancelled
45+7'⚽Léo CearáAssist: Rikuto Hirose
55'⇄Keisuke TsukuiOff: Rikuto Hirose
55'Welton
55'⇄Aleksandar ČavrićOff: Minato Yoshida
57'⇄Deniz HümmetOff: Yusei Toshida

Chances to win

Kashima%54

Draw%24

Gamba Osaka%22

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%60Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

KashimaW3-1D3-3W7-1L1-2L0-1

Gamba OsakaD3-3W5-0L0-1W4-1L

Last 6 meetings

3Kashima won

2Draw

1Gamba Osaka won

1.8
Goals per game3/6
Over 2.52/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Kashima · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Gamba Osaka · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Kashima · last 8 at home4.4 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners4/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards

Gamba Osaka · last 7 away3.6 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/7Over 4.5 corners2/7Over 5.5 corners1/7Over 0.5 cards5/7Over 1.5 cards4/7

Bench

R. Araki, T. Kishimoto, S. Nakano, S. Sasaki, T. Suzuki, K. Sumi, R. Meshino, I. Jebali, D. Hümmet

Gamba Osaka – KashimaJune 24, 2023 · J1 League2-1

Kashima – Gamba OsakaApril 29, 2023 · J1 League4-0

57'⇄Issam JebaliOff: Takashi Usami

60'⚽Yuma SuzukiAssist: Kento Misao

64'⇄Shinya NakanoOff: Ryo Hatsuse

64'⇄Koshiro SumiOff: Welton

73'⇄Takeru KishimotoOff: Rin Mito

79'⇄Haruki HayashiOff: Léo Ceará

79'⇄Matheus BuenoOff: Gaku Shibasaki

88'⇄Homare TokudaOff: Yuma Suzuki

Statistics

54%Possession46%

14Total shots12

3Shots on target5

1Corners4

13Fouls18

2Offsides1

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

4Saves1

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%60

Kashima win%54

Not both score%40

Under 2.5%40

Draw%24

Gamba Osaka win%22

Why?

Kashima · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Gamba Osaka · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Kashima: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Gamba Osaka: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
Kashima scored 2.5 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Gamba Osaka scored 1.5 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Kashima: 10 games · Gamba Osaka: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.9Goals scored (avg)1.4

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.8Total goals per gameleague 3.03.1

10/10Over 0.5league %949/10

9/10Over 1.5league %819/10

7/10Over 2.5league %596/10

5/10Over 3.5league %375/10

4/10Over 4.5league %181/10

5/10Both scoreleague %567/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Kashima: 10 games · Gamba Osaka: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.9Goals scored (avg)2.2

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.4

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.03.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

9/10Over 1.5league %819/10

7/10Over 2.5league %597/10

6/10Over 3.5league %376/10

4/10Over 4.5league %183/10

6/10Both scoreleague %567/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Kashima's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Kashima · J1 League

Gamba Osaka · J1 League

Kashima · All games

Gamba Osaka · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals