JEF United Chiba – Yokohama F. Marinos: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·J1 League · Japan · Matchday 10

JEF United ChibaJ-League · #20

0-0Saturday, October 17

Yokohama F. MarinosJ-League · #9

Match events

JEF United ChibaYokohama F. Marinos

13'Tomoki Kondo
44'VARTakumi TsukuiGoal cancelled
45'⇄Takayuki MaeOff: Rikuto Ishio
61'⇄Tevis Gabriel Alves SantosOff: Jun Amano
61'⇄Kei ChinenOff: Riku Yamane
62'⇄Kazuki TanakaOff: Naohiro Sugiyama

Chances to win

JEF United Chiba%26

Draw%26

Yokohama F. Marinos%48

At a glance

Over 1.5

%53Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%53

Yokohama F. Marinos win%48

Under 2.5%47

Not both score%44

Draw%26

JEF United Chiba win%26

Why?

JEF United Chiba: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

JEF United ChibaD1-1L0-1L2-4L1-2D1-1

Yokohama F. MarinosW2-1D0-0W2-1W2-1W2-0

Last 2 meetings

0JEF United Chiba won

0Draw

2Yokohama F. Marinos won

3.5
Goals per game1/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

JEF United Chiba · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Yokohama F. Marinos · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

JEF United Chiba · last 9 at home5.3 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners4/9

Yokohama F. Marinos · last 9 away3.3 corners, 0.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners2/9Over 5.5 corners1/9Over 0.5 cards5/9Over 1.5 cards2/9

Bench

Y. Tsuboi, T. Inoue, T. Deng, T. Kida, K. Chinen, J. Croux, G. Onaiwu, Tevis Gabriel, R. Nitta

69'⇄Jordy CrouxOff: Tomoki Kondo

69'⇄Taisei InoueOff: Takuto Kimura

72'⇄Yusuke KobayashiOff: Luiz Eduardo Fleuri Pacheco

73'⇄Taishi TaguchiOff: Takuya Yasui

81'⇄Hiroto GoyaOff: Ken Yamura

82'⇄Rio NittaOff: Ryo Miyaichi

90+5'Erison Danilo de Souza

Statistics

42%Possession58%

0.74Expected goals0.93

16Total shots12

4Shots on target2

8Corners6

17Fouls12

4Offsides1

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

2Saves4

Yokohama F. Marinos: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

JEF United Chiba scored 0.8 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Yokohama F. Marinos scored 1.8 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

JEF United Chiba · last 10 at home: both scored 5 times5/10

Yokohama F. Marinos · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

JEF United Chiba: 10 games · Yokohama F. Marinos: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.7Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.6Goals conceded (avg)0.7

2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.02.3

8/10Over 0.5league %948/10

8/10Over 1.5league %807/10

4/10Over 2.5league %573/10

2/10Over 3.5league %362/10

1/10Over 4.5league %182/10

4/10Both scoreleague %575/10

3/10Clean sheets5/10

5/10Failed to score2/10

JEF United Chiba: 10 games · Yokohama F. Marinos: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.0

2.7Total goals per gameleague 3.02.6

9/10Over 0.5league %948/10

8/10Over 1.5league %808/10

4/10Over 2.5league %575/10

3/10Over 3.5league %362/10

2/10Over 4.5league %181/10

6/10Both scoreleague %577/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%34 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), JEF United Chiba win 276, 342 end level and Yokohama F. Marinos win 382. The actual result comes up 342 times in 1000.

%26 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.74 – 0.93 The score the chances deserved (xG): JEF United Chiba 0.74 – 0.93 Yokohama F. Marinos.

7.6

Man of the match: Park Il-Gyu (Yokohama F. Marinos), rated 7.6.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

JEF United Chiba · J1 League

Yokohama F. Marinos · J1 League

JEF United Chiba · All games

Yokohama F. Marinos · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match