Cerezo Osaka – Yokohama F. Marinos: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·J1 League · Japan · Matchday 9

Cerezo OsakaJ-League · #12

0-0Saturday, October 10

Yokohama F. MarinosJ-League · #9

Match events

Cerezo OsakaYokohama F. Marinos

10'Javi Hernández
26'Ayumu Ohata
32'VARRikito InoueCard upgrade confirmed
50'Jackson Irvine
53'⇄Travis TakahashiOff: Javi Hernández
62'⇄Yota KomiOff: Lucas Fernandes

Chances to win

Cerezo Osaka%42

Draw%26

Yokohama F. Marinos%32

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%60Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%56

Under 2.5%44

Cerezo Osaka win%42

Not both score%40

Yokohama F. Marinos win%32

Draw%26

Why?

Cerezo Osaka: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Cerezo OsakaW2-0W2-1D1-1L1-6D0-0

Yokohama F. MarinosW2-1W2-1W2-0D1-1W2-0

Last 6 meetings

2Cerezo Osaka won

1Draw

3Yokohama F. Marinos won

3.0
Goals per game4/6
Over 2.53/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Cerezo Osaka · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Yokohama F. Marinos · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Cerezo Osaka · last 8 at home6.6 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/8Over 4.5 corners7/8Over 5.5 corners5/8Over 0.5 cards

Yokohama F. Marinos · last 9 away3.1 corners, 0.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners2/9Over 5.5 corners1/9Over 0.5 cards5/9Over 1.5 cards2/9

Bench

Park Il-Gyu, T. Inoue, S. Fujii, T. Kida, K. Chinen, D. Tono, J. Croux, G. Onaiwu, R. Nitta

Yokohama F. Marinos – Cerezo OsakaNovember 12, 2023 · J1 League2-0

Cerezo Osaka – Yokohama F. MarinosApril 1, 2023 · J1 League2-1

71'⇄Kosei OkazawaOff: Yumeki Yokoyama

72'⇄Shinji KagawaOff: Pablo Sabbag

75'⇄Daiya TonoOff: Jun Amano

75'⇄Jordy CrouxOff: Ryo Miyaichi

82'⇄Rio NittaOff: Kaina Tanimura

82'⇄George OnaiwuOff: Tomoki Kondo

89'⇄Kei ChinenOff: Kosuke Matsumura

Statistics

51%Possession49%

0.72Expected goals0.93

9Total shots12

2Shots on target1

5Corners4

11Fouls13

2Offsides3

4Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

1Saves2

Yokohama F. Marinos: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Cerezo Osaka scored 2.2 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Yokohama F. Marinos scored 2.1 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Cerezo Osaka · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Yokohama F. Marinos · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

Cerezo Osaka: 10 games · Yokohama F. Marinos: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.0Goals conceded (avg)0.7

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.02.3

8/10Over 0.5league %948/10

7/10Over 1.5league %817/10

5/10Over 2.5league %593/10

4/10Over 3.5league %372/10

1/10Over 4.5league %182/10

5/10Both scoreleague %565/10

5/10Clean sheets5/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Cerezo Osaka: 10 games · Yokohama F. Marinos: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.3Total goals per gameleague 3.02.6

9/10Over 0.5league %948/10

9/10Over 1.5league %818/10

6/10Over 2.5league %595/10

5/10Over 3.5league %372/10

3/10Over 4.5league %181/10

8/10Both scoreleague %567/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%34 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Cerezo Osaka win 269, 344 end level and Yokohama F. Marinos win 387. The actual result comes up 344 times in 1000.

%26 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.72 – 0.93 The score the chances deserved (xG): Cerezo Osaka 0.72 – 0.93 Yokohama F. Marinos.

7.0

Man of the match: J. Quiñónes (Yokohama F. Marinos), rated 7.0.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Cerezo Osaka · J1 League

Yokohama F. Marinos · J1 League

Cerezo Osaka · All games

Yokohama F. Marinos · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Cerezo Osaka's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match