Widzew Łódź – Gornik Zabrze: probabilities, statistics and live score

Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa · #14

1-1Friday, October 23

Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa · #2

Match events

Widzew ŁódźGornik Zabrze

16'⚽Karol ŚwiderskiAssist: Darian Males
21'⇄Stipe BiukOff: mariusz fornalczyk
29'Malthe Hojholt
40'⚽Kacper UrbanskiAssist: Zeidane Inoussa
60'⇄Christopher ChengOff: Steve Kapuadi
60'⇄Sebastian BergierOff: Karol Świderski

Chances to win

Widzew Łódź%30

Draw%28

Gornik Zabrze%43

At a glance

Over 1.5

%49Over 2.5

%55Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Widzew ŁódźD0-0L1-2D2-2D1-1D0-0

Gornik ZabrzeD1-1W3-1D0-0W2-0W

Last 8 meetings

1Widzew Łódź won

3Draw

4Gornik Zabrze won

2.6
Goals per game4/8
Over 2.54/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Widzew Łódź · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Gornik Zabrze · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Widzew Łódź · last 9 at home6.2 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners5/9Over 5.5 corners5/9Over 0.5 cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%51

Over 2.5%49

Not both score%45

Gornik Zabrze win%43

Widzew Łódź win%30

Draw%28

Why?

Widzew Łódź · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Widzew Łódź: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Gornik Zabrze: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 away matches.
Widzew Łódź scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Gornik Zabrze scored 1.3 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Widzew Łódź: 10 games · Gornik Zabrze: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.3Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.02.2

8/10Over 0.5league %928/10

7/10Over 1.5league %836/10

6/10Over 2.5league %614/10

4/10Over 3.5league %333/10

1/10Over 4.5league %191/10

7/10Both scoreleague %665/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

Widzew Łódź: 10 games · Gornik Zabrze: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.6Goals conceded (avg)0.5

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.01.7

8/10Over 0.5league %927/10

7/10Over 1.5league %836/10

5/10Over 2.5league %613/10

4/10Over 3.5league %331/10

3/10Over 4.5league %190/10

7/10Both scoreleague %665/10

2/10Clean sheets5/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%20 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Widzew Łódź win 143, 203 end level and Gornik Zabrze win 654. The actual result comes up 203 times in 1000.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.82 – 2.02 The score the chances deserved (xG): Widzew Łódź 0.82 – 2.02 Gornik Zabrze.

11 – 24 Shots: Widzew Łódź 11 – 24 Gornik Zabrze.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Widzew Łódź's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Widzew Łódź · Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze · Ekstraklasa

Widzew Łódź · All games

Gornik Zabrze · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match