Pogon Szczecin – Radomiak Radom: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ekstraklasa · Poland · Matchday 12

Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa · #4

4-3Saturday, October 24

Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa · #17

Match events

Pogon SzczecinRadomiak Radom

2'Maciej Wojciechowski
10'⚽Roberto Oliveira AlvesPenalty
17'⚽Dimitrios Keramitsis
25'⚽Christos Donis
37'⇄Lukas WillenOff: Benjamin Mendy
41'Dimitrios Keramitsis
45'⇄

Chances to win

Pogon Szczecin%56

Draw%23

Radomiak Radom%20

At a glance

Over 1.5

%59Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%58

Pogon Szczecin win%56

Not both score%42

Under 2.5%41

Draw%23

Radomiak Radom win%20

Why?

Pogon Szczecin: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Pogon SzczecinW1-0W2-0W2-1W2-0D1-1

Radomiak RadomL0-1L2-3L1-5L0-2D0-0

Last 10 meetings

4Pogon Szczecin won

2Draw

4Radomiak Radom won

3.2
Goals per game6/10
Over 2.54/10
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Pogon Szczecin · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Radomiak Radom · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Pogon Szczecin · last 10 at home3.7 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Radomiak Radom · last 9 away4.3 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners4/9Over 0.5 cards9/9Over 1.5 cards7/9

Bench

B. Gradecki, K. Szcześniak, Adrián Diéguez, I. Camará, K. Karasek, Luquinhas, C. Nunnely, F. Gouré, A. Tapsoba, Manu

November 8, 2024 · Ekstraklasa

Radomiak Radom – Pogon SzczecinFebruary 16, 2024 · Ekstraklasa0-4

Pogon Szczecin – Radomiak RadomAugust 13, 2023 · Ekstraklasa0-2

Pogon Szczecin – Radomiak RadomMay 27, 2023 · Ekstraklasa4-0

Radomiak Radom – Pogon SzczecinNovember 13, 2022 · Ekstraklasa1-2

Pogon Szczecin – Radomiak RadomMarch 4, 2022 · Ekstraklasa4-0

Radomiak Radom – Pogon SzczecinSeptember 13, 2021 · Ekstraklasa1-1

Kamil GrosickiOff: Jan Bieganski

45+3'⚽Alessandro Riccio

49'⚽Kamil GrosickiAssist: Paul Omo Mukairu

55'⚽Kamil Grosicki

60'⇄Bi Irié Fernand GouréOff: Guilherme Luiz

60'⇄Lucas Lima LinharesOff: Rafał Wolski

64'⇄Kellyn AcostaOff: Maciej Wojciechowski

73'⇄Ibrahima CamaráOff: Christos Donis

73'⇄Che NunnelyOff: Ronaldo Lumungo

74'⚽Jan GrzesikAssist: Bi Irié Fernand Gouré

78'⇄Isaiah·EichieOff: Paul Omo Mukairu

78'⇄Natan LawaOff: Darko Churlinov

85'VARBi Irié Fernand GouréGoal cancelled

89'VARIbrahima CamaráCard upgrade confirmed

90+7'⇄Abdoul TapsobaOff: Conrado

Statistics

53%Possession47%

1.06Expected goals1.95

9Total shots16

5Shots on target5

2Corners7

14Fouls7

3Offsides2

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards1

2Saves1

Radomiak Radom: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Pogon Szczecin scored 1.5 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Radomiak Radom scored 0.6 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Pogon Szczecin: 10 games · Radomiak Radom: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.1Goals conceded (avg)2.5

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.93.4

10/10Over 0.5league %928/10

9/10Over 1.5league %826/10

5/10Over 2.5league %595/10

3/10Over 3.5league %315/10

1/10Over 4.5league %194/10

6/10Both scoreleague %655/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

Pogon Szczecin: 10 games · Radomiak Radom: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.92.7

9/10Over 0.5league %928/10

8/10Over 1.5league %826/10

5/10Over 2.5league %594/10

3/10Over 3.5league %313/10

1/10Over 4.5league %193/10

6/10Both scoreleague %655/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%20 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Pogon Szczecin win 202, 218 end level and Radomiak Radom win 581. The actual result comes up 202 times in 1000.

Pogon Szczecin: win number 5 in a row.

2 – 7 Corners: Pogon Szczecin 2 – 7 Radomiak Radom.

1.06 – 1.95 The score the chances deserved (xG): Pogon Szczecin 1.06 – 1.95 Radomiak Radom.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 10 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Pogon Szczecin · Ekstraklasa

Radomiak Radom · Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin · All games

Radomiak Radom · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Pogon Szczecin's ground

Last 10 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match