GKS Katowice – Pogon Szczecin: probabilities, statistics and live score

GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa · #5

0-1Saturday, October 17

Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa · #4

Match events

GKS KatowicePogon Szczecin

51'⚽Jordi SánchezAssist: Attila Szalai
65'Lukas Klemenz
68'⇄Bartosz WolskiOff: Mateusz·Kowalczyk
72'⇄Kamil GrosickiOff: Darko Churlinov
73'⇄Erik JirkaOff: Marcin Wasielewski
73'⇄Mateusz WdowiakOff: Marcel Wedrychowski

Chances to win

GKS Katowice%45

Draw%25

Pogon Szczecin%29

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%63Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

GKS KatowiceW2-1W4-1W3-2L1-2L0-3

Pogon SzczecinW2-0W2-1W2-0D1-1L

Last 4 meetings

2GKS Katowice won

1Draw

1Pogon Szczecin won

3.0
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

GKS Katowice · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Pogon Szczecin · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

GKS Katowice · last 9 at home4.8 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners3/9Over 5.5 corners3/9

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%63

GKS Katowice win%45

Under 2.5%40

Not both score%37

Pogon Szczecin win%29

Draw%25

Why?

GKS Katowice · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 9 times9/10

GKS Katowice: 3+ goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
Pogon Szczecin: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.
GKS Katowice scored 2.9 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Pogon Szczecin scored 1.2 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

GKS Katowice: 10 games · Pogon Szczecin: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.8Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.2Goals conceded (avg)0.9

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.02.2

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

9/10Over 1.5league %837/10

9/10Over 2.5league %614/10

7/10Over 3.5league %331/10

4/10Over 4.5league %191/10

8/10Both scoreleague %665/10

1/10Clean sheets5/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

GKS Katowice: 10 games · Pogon Szczecin: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.02.8

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

7/10Over 1.5league %838/10

7/10Over 2.5league %615/10

4/10Over 3.5league %333/10

4/10Over 4.5league %191/10

6/10Both scoreleague %666/10

0/10Clean sheets4/10

4/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%29 Our model's pre-match chance of an Pogon Szczecin win.

Pogon Szczecin: win number 4 in a row.

%63 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), GKS Katowice win 171, 203 end level and Pogon Szczecin win 626. The actual result comes up 626 times in 1000.

8.0

Man of the match: Jordi Sánchez (Pogon Szczecin), rated 8.0.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at GKS Katowice's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

GKS Katowice · Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin · Ekstraklasa

GKS Katowice · All games

Pogon Szczecin · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match